NFL Quick Picks: Week 6

Well I hope no one made actual bets on my picks last week, I was absolutely dreadful.  6-8 last week bringing down my overall record to 45-32, not bad but like the Cowboys’ 1-3 record, I’m better than that.

So this week, gambling community, I make it up to you.

Baring a higher than average number of upsets this week I should be golden.

So sit back and enjoy the ride.

MIA @ GB

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LANDOVER, MD - OCTOBER 10: Tight end Jermichael Finley #88 of the Green Bay Packers leaves the game on a cart after injuring his knee against the Washington Redskins at FedExField on October 10, 2010 in Landover, Maryland. The Redskins won the game in ov

The walking wounded Green Bay Packers welcome the Miami Dolphins to Lambeau Field.

When I looked at the schedule before week one I thought this was going to be a clash of division leaders, and possibly a Super Bowl preview.

My perception, however, has changed.

The Dolphins have yet to beat anyone of note (their two wins coming against the win-less Bills, and hapless Vikings), however they are coming off a bye-week and have had extra time to prepare for the Packers.

The Packers' players have been dropping like flies the past couple of weeks, and their biggest star, Aaron Rodgers suffered a concussion last week in a loss to the Washington Redskins.  My pick hinders on whether or not Rodgers plays.

If he plays, Pack win at home 24-9, if he does not play Dolphins win an ugly one 16-6.

DET @ NYG

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HOUSTON - OCTOBER 10: Quarterback Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants throws downfield before defensive end Mario Williams #90 can get to him at Reliant Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Houston, Texas. New York won 34-10. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Imag

How about them Giants the last two weeks?  They are just laying the smack down on everyone since that embarrassing loss to the Colts. 

And this week they draw the Lions.

Sure the Lions are better this year than the past several, but they're still not that good and Shaun Hill is going to be running for his life.

The Giants continue the smack down train, 49-3.

SEA @ CHI

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CHARLOTTE, NC - OCTOBER 10: Running back Matt Forte #22 of the Chicago Bears runs with the ball against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Geoff Burke/Getty Images)

It's a good thing the Seattle Seahawks picked up Marshawn Lynch because they're going to need to run the ball well to slow down the Bears pass rush.

Even if they are successful at that they still won't put up enough points to slow down Matt Forte as he shows the league that he is up there with the elite running backs.

Unlike the Packers, this week it doesn't matter for the Bears if their starter Jay Cutler is back under center after suffering a concussion to the Giants two-weeks ago because I think the Bears have finally realized the road the the NFC North title is on the back of Forte.

Bears win 20-10.

NO @ TB

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GLENDALE, AZ - OCTOBER 10: Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints talks with teammates in a huddle prior to the NFL game against the Arizona Cardinals at the University of Phoenix Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardina

Tampa Bay is going to give their best effort against the defending champs, but I'm still not sold on the Bucs being a contender, yet.

A win from them will change my mind, but like Ric Flair always said, "To be the man, you have to beat the man."

And the Saints are the "Man".

Saints win a close one 27-24.

ATL @ PHI

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CLEVELAND - OCTOBER 10: Quarterback Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons throws to tight end Tony Gonzalez #88 against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)

The Atlanta Falcons just might be the hottest team in the NFC right now.  Their only loss game in overtime in week one at the Steelers (so they have that going for them) and they travel to city of brotherly lover to face the Philadelphia Eagles.

Michael Vick is doing his best to get healthy for this game but for all you fantasy owners out there I wouldn't count on him being ready.  Even if he was I still wouldn't pick against the Falcons this week.

The Dirty Birds win 20-13.

KC @ HOU

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INDIANAPOLIS, IN - OCTOBER 10: Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs with the football against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Scott Boehm/Getty Images)

The Chiefs finally saw their undefeated streak come to an end in Indy last week and this Sunday will begin a new streak, a losing one as the Chiefs will fall to the Texans (if they don't I'm done picking the Texans), 27-17.

SD @ STL

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DETROIT - OCTOBER 10: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams tries to get a pass of before being tackled by Cliff Avril #92 and Ndamukong Suh #90 of the Detroit Lions on October 10, 2010 at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Detroit won the game 44-6. (Photo

Last week Sam Bradford lost his favorite target, Mark Clayton, for the season (I take full responsibility since I added Clayton to my roster the Friday before the game) and being a rookie quarterback that could really hinder his productivity.

Philip Rivers on the other hand still has Antonio Gates and put up over 400 yards in a loss. 

The Chargers are a desperate team right now, they're watching their season slip away, they're going to air the ball out early to try and put this game away by half time.

Chargers win in a route, 45-14.

CLE @ PIT

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PITTSBURGH - OCTOBER 13: Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers practices at the Pittsburgh Steelers South Side training facility on October 13, 2010 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

Big Ben makes his triumphant return to Heinz Field this Sunday, and he couldn't pick a better opponent than the lowly Browns.

I doubt their will be any rust on the big man's arm, and even if their is, there is always Rashard Mendenhall to hand the ball to.  Not to mention the stingiest defense in the NFL.

I see no way rookie Colt McCoy rallies the troops to victory, but in this year's NFL you never know.

The Steelers with Big Ben are going to light it up, 28-6.

BAL @ NE

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BALTIMORE, MD - OCTOBER 10: Ray Rice #27 of the Baltimore Ravens runs the ball against the Denver Broncos at M&T Bank Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Baltimore, Maryland. Players wore pink in recognition of Breast Cancer Awareness Month. The Ravens defeate

Without Randy Moss I just don't see how the Patriots are going to score enough points on this Ravens' defense.

Couple that with Ray Rice having a break out game last week and look for the Ravens to fly high with a 17-13 victory.

NYJ @ DEN

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 11: LaDainian Tomlinson #21 of the New York Jets runs the ball in the first half against the Minnesota Vikings at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 11, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Image

Last week we all saw what happened to the Broncos' passing attack when they faced a good defense, well it doesn't get any easier.  Even if Revis Island doesn't suite up Antonio Cromartie is showing that he is becoming an island all to himself.

Jets win 20-17.

OAK @ SF

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SAN FRANCISCO - OCTOBER 10: Head coach Mike Singletary of the San Francisco 49ers talks with quarterback Alex Smith #11 against the Philadelphia Eagles during an NFL game at Candlestick Park on October 10, 2010 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Je

This past week I wrote an article on why Alex Smith should not be benched in favor of David Carr (as if I really needed to explain myself there), and San Fransisco isn't as bad as their 0-5 record.

Oakland is riding high off of their big upset over division rival San Diego, however in this battle of the Bay I've got to go with the 49ers (Holy crap this is the 4th time I've picked the Niners, I need to stop that) only because I think Smith is finally on the same page with Davis and Crabtree. 

Also the Niners don't loose that game if Gore doesn't fumble twice and he won't this week.

Niners finally get their first win of the season 31-20.

DAL @ MIN

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 11: Randy Moss #84 of the Minnesota Vikings runs a pattern on offense against Antonio Cromartie #31 of the New York Jets at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 11, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Jets won 29-20. (Pho

A Dallas friend of mine asked me yesterday who I was going to pick in this game.

I told her had she asked me before the fourth quarter of the Monday Night game I would have said Dallas without hesitation.

However when the Vikings offense exploded and almost won the game we all got a glimpse of what could be with this team.

I told her I was just going to flip a coin to decide the winner.  Heads Vikings win, tails the "W" goes to the Cowboys.

Ok, here goes...

And it's a tails (damn)

So Cowboys win, by, um, 3, I guess.

IND @ WSH

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LANDOVER, MD - OCTOBER 10: Wide receiver Anthony Armstrong #13 of the Washington Redskins runs after a catch while being tackled by defensive back Josh Bell #26 of the Green Bay Packers in the fourth quarter at FedExField on October 10, 2010 in Landover,

This game seemed like a no brainer at the beginning of the season, but the Redskins improve each week it seems and the Colts don't seem like the dominate team they've been the past several seasons.

Last week I went with my gut and picked my Skins to win, and I was pretty damn close I said it would be a game winning Gano field goal 17-14, and I was just a point off for both teams.

This week my gut tells me the Skins have a chance, but I'm going to go with my head this week (hopefully my gut is two for two).  It's just hard to pick against Peyton Manning when going against a suspect secondary.

Colts win 27-14.

TEN @ JAC

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ARLINGTON, TX - OCTOBER 10: Running back Chris Johnson #28 of the Tennessee Titans dives over the line to score the winning touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Dallas Cowboys at Cowboys Stadium on October 10, 2010 in Arlington, Texas. The Titan

Folks Chris Johnson is just getting started this season and he and his Titans travel to Jacksonville to face the streaking Jaguars.

Jacksonville is better than I thought they were, but I see CJ2 running all over the place. 

Titans win on Monday Night Football 21-10.

That's All Folks

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 11: A cheerleader for the New York Jets looks on as rain falls against the Minnesota Vikings at New Meadowlands Stadium on October 11, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)

Well folks, enjoy the games on Sunday and Monday, and I promise you these picks are much better than last weeks.  Though I hope I'm wrong about the Skins and Vikings.