RE: NHL over/under: How many points will key players score in 2010-11?

In Puck Daddy‘s latest blog post, he offers up the over/under on the scoring of individual players. This stems from an earlier post of the official sports book odds on the 2010-11 NHL season courtesy of Bodog.

I think Puck Daddy is the man, so I decided to try my hand at predicting whether or not these players will be over or under their point predictions by the end of the season. Come playoff time, I will review my picks and see how I did.

Atlantic Division

New Jersey Devils Over/Under Player Points

Ilya Kovalchuk: 82.5 OVER

Zach Parise: 78.5 OVER

Travis Zajac: 62.5 OVER (see: article)

Patrik Elias: 57.5 UNDER

New York Islanders Over/Under Player Points

John Tavares: 63.5 hmmm… OVER

Josh Bailey: 41.5 UNDER

Matt Moulson: 41.5 UNDER. I mean, how can I go against Paul Giamatti

New York Rangers Over/Under Player Points

Marian Gaborik: 85.5 UNDER

Alexander Frolov: 59.5 OVER

Vaclav Prospal: 52.5 UNDER

Brandon Dubinsky: 46.5 hmm… OVER

Philadelphia Flyers Over/Under Player Points

Jeff Carter: 71.5 OVER

Mike Richards: 67.5 OVER

Nikolai Zherdev: 57.5 UNDER

Chris Pronger: 50.5 hmm.. OVER

Pittsburgh Penguins Over/Under Player Points

Sidney Crosby: 109.5 OVER

Evgeni Malkin: 99.5 OVER

Jordan Staal: 51.5 UNDER

Chris Kunitz: 41.5 OVER

Northeast Division

Boston Bruins Over/Under Player Points

Marc Savard: 70.5 UNDER

Nathan Horton: 67.5 OVER

Patrice Bergeron: 52.5 OVER

Zdeno Chara: 44.5 OVER

Tyler Seguin: 41.5 OVER

Buffalo Sabres Over/Under Player Points

Derek Roy: 70.5 OVER

Tim Connolly: 60.5 UNDER

Thomas Vanek: 56.5 OVER

Tyler Myers: 51.5 OVER

Montreal Canadiens Over/Under Player Points

Mike Cammalleri: 64.5 OVER

Tomas Plekanec: 61.5 OVER

Scott Gomez: 60.5 UNDER

Brian Gionta: 52.5 UNDER

Andrei Markov: 42.5 OVER

Andrei Kostitsyn: 40.5 OVER

P.K. Subban: 40.5 OVER

Lars Eller: 38.5 UNDER

Ottawa Senators Over/Under Player Points

Jason Spezza: 77.5 UNDER

Daniel Alfredsson: 67.5 OVER

Sergei Gonchar: 56.5 UNDER

Alex Kovalev: 56.5 OVER

Mike Fisher: 47.5 UNDER

Milan Michalek: 41.5 OVER

Erik Karlsson: 39.5 OVER

Toronto Maple Leafs Over/Under Player Points

Phil Kessel: 63.5 OVER

Tyler Bozak: 49.5 OVER

Mikhail Grabovski: 45.5 UNDER

Kris Versteeg: 45.5 OVER

Tomas Kaberle: 44.5 OVER

Dion Phaneuf: 43.5 UNDER

Nazem Kadri: 39.5 UNDER

Southeast Division

Atlanta Thrashers Over/Under Player Points

Nikolai Antropov: 62.5 OVER

Rich Peverley: 45.5 UNDER

Evander Kane: 42.5 OVER

Dustin Byfuglien: 31.5 OVER

Carolina Hurricanes Over/Under Player Points

Eric Staal: 77.5 OVER

Jussi Jokinen: 53.5 UNDER

Brandon Sutter: 44.5 UNDER

Tuomo Ruutu: 44.5 UNDER

Florida Panthers Over/Under Player Points

Stephen Weiss: 60.5 OVER

Michael Frolik: 51.5 OVER

David Booth: 44.5 OVER

Bryan McCabe: 41.5 OVER

Tampa Bay Lightning Over/Under Player Points

Steven Stamkos: 92.5 UNDER

Martin St. Louis: 85.5 UNDER

Vincent Lecavalier: 71.5 OVER

Simon Gagne: 56.5 OVER

Washington Capitals Over/Under Player Points

Alexander Ovechkin: 110.5 OVER

Nicklas Backstrom: 97.5 OVER

Alexander Semin: 75.5 OVER

Mike Green: 75.5 UNDER

Central Division

Chicago Blackhawks Over/Under Player Points

Patrick Kane: 90.5 UNDER

Jonathan Toews: 74.5 OVER

Marian Hossa: 70.5 OVER

Duncan Keith: 58.5 OVER

Columbus Blue Jackets Over/Under Player Points

Rick Nash 78.5 UNDER

Antoine Vermette 60.5 OVER

Kristian Huselius 59.5 OVER

R.J. Umberger 51.5 UNDER

Detroit Red Wings Over/Under Player Points

Pavel Datsyuk 83.5 UNDER

Henrik Zetterberg 74.5 OVER

Johan Franzen 52.5 OVER

Nicklas Lidstrom 44.5 OVER

Mike Modano 42.5 UNDER

Nashville Predators Over/Under Player Points

Patric Hornqvist: 53.5 UNDER

Steve Sullivan: 47.5 UNDER

Matthew Lombardi: 46.5 OVER

Shea Weber: 43.5 OVER

St. Louis Blues Over/Under Player Points

T.J. Oshie: 56.5 OVER

Brad Boyes: 54.5 UNDER

Andy McDonald: 52.5 OVER

David Perron: 51.5 OVER

Northwest Division

Calgary Flames Over/Under Player Points

Jarome Iginla: 82.5 UNDER

Olli Jokinen: 52.5 OVER

Rene Bourque: 48.5 UNDER

Alex Tanguay: 48.5 OVER

Matt Stajan: 46.5 UNDER

Mikael Backlund: 37.5 OVER

Ian White: 28.5 OVER

Colorado Avalanche Over/Under Player Points

Paul Stastny 77.5 UNDER

Matt Duchene 61.5 OVER

Peter Mueller 46.5 OVER hmm.. tough one, with the concussions and all.

Milan Hejduk 45.5 UNDER

Edmonton Oilers Over/Under Player Points

Ales Hemsky 64.5 OVER.. I think he’ll play more than 70 games.

Dustin Penner 57.5 UNDER

Sam Gagner 52.5 OVER

Jordan Eberle 51.5 OVER

Taylor Hall 47.5 OVER

Ryan Whitney 39.5 UNDER

Andrew Cogliano 36.5 UNDER

Minnesota Wild Over/Under Player Points

Mikko Koivu: 71.5 OVER

Martin Havlat: 62.5 UNDER

Andrew Brunette: 54.5 UNDER

Guillaume Latendresse: 45.5 OVER

Vancouver Canucks Over/Under Player Points

Henrik Sedin: 99.5 UNDER

Daniel Sedin: 95.5 UNDER

Ryan Kesler: 71.5 UNDER

Mason Raymond: 55.5 UNDER

Alexandre Burrows: 49.5 UNDER

Mikael Samuelsson: 48.5 UNDER

Alexander Edler: 44.5 OVER

Pacific Division

Anaheim Ducks Over/Under Player Points

Ryan Getzlaf: 85.5 OVER

Corey Perry: 79.5 UNDER

Bobby Ryan: 64.5 OVER

Saku Koivu: 43.5 UNDER

Dallas Stars Over/Under Player Points

Brad Richards 77.5 OVER

Loui Eriksson 66.5 OVER

Mike Ribeiro 60.5 UNDER

Brenden Morrow 46.5 OVER

Los Angeles Kings Over/Under Player Points

Anze Kopitar: 76.5 UNDER

Drew Doughty: 60.5 OVER

Dustin Brown: 58.5 UNDER

Ryan Smyth: 51.5 OVER

Phoenix Coyotes Over/Under Player Points

Wojtek Wolski: 63.5 OVER

Shane Doan: 58.5 OVER

Ray Whitney: 56.5 UNDER

Keith Yandle: 38.5 OVER.. by a good margin

San Jose Sharks Over/Under Player Points

Joe Thornton: 91.5 OVER

Dany Heatley: 89.5 UNDER

Patrick Marleau: 71.5 OVER

Joe Pavelski: 61.5 OVER

And there it is. It was actually a lot harder than I thought it would be. I have a lot of “overs” which I think will bury my predictions under 50%, but we’ll have to wait and see.

I think it would be fun if other bloggers (WordPress, Bleacher Report, etc) made some over/under predictions and we can compare at the end of the year.