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NASPAQ – Pac-12 Football Stock Report : Week 5

Pac Man
Oct 5, 2010

I could have told you before the season that the top games in the country will be coming from the Pac-12 this year, but the entire nation got to see the national forecast on Saturday - Oregon Reign!

The Ducks have proven twice this year that sitting on a lead is a recipe for disaster against them. The Oregon Reign comes without warning, causes flash floods, and can pour all game long. Andrew Luck had trouble seeing through the green haze and wasย struck by lightningย trying to tackleย Eddie Pleasantย after he returned a fumble to the Stanford three yard line.

Even worse than the loss for Stanford is that Oregon exposed weaknesses throughout their team. Last year the Cardinal had a slow defense with a weak secondary and they did little to dispel those notions. Despite Stanford's success in the red zone and Stepfan Taylor'sย (STEP)ย 113 yards rushing, they didn't have much success running the ball up the field. The key to beating the Ducks is a strong run defense and controlling the clock, and Stanford wasn't able to do either. Despite all the points there were some great defensive performances during the game.ย Cliff Harrisย (CLIF) had two interceptions and his stock would have gone up even more if he didn't fumble away a kickoff. Oregon's defense continues to give up yards in bunches, but their defense matches the offense's big play ability by forcing turnovers.ย James Dockeryย (DOCK) saw a 44 percent increase in his stock after getting two interceptions and the game clinching interception two out of the last three games.

Defensive Players Market

ย ย Symbolฮ”ฮ”%Total
Akeem AyersUCLAAYERโ†‘ย 108%$125
Rahim MooreUCLAMOOR--$100
Vontaze BurfictASUBURFโ†‘ย 55%$100
Mason FosterUWFOSTโ†‘ย 1011%$95
Jurrell CaseyUSCCASEโ†‘ย 55%$95
Omar BoldenASUBOLDโ†‘ย 55%$90
Stephen PaeaOSUPAEAโ†‘ย 1012%$90
Casey MatthewsOregonMATTโ†‘ย 56%$85
Mike MohamedCalMIKE--$80
Trevin WadeArizonaWADE--$80
Brooks ReedArizonaREED--$80
Tony DyeUCLADYEโ†‘ย 57%$70
James DockeryOSUDOCKโ†‘ย 2044%$65
Malcolm SmithUSCSMITโ†‘ย 510%$55
Cliff HarrisOregonCLIFโ†‘ย 1537%$55
Richard ShermanStanfordTHOMโ†“59%$50
TJ McDonaldUSCTJMCโ†‘ย 511%$50
Owen MaracicStanfordOWENโ†‘ย 514%$40
Shane SkovStanfordSKOVโ†‘ย 514%$40
DJ HoltCalHOLT--$25
Michael ThomasStanfordTHOM--$20
Patrick LarimoreUCLALARIโ†“520%$20

Washington's defense looked good coming off a bye week and forcedย Matt Barkleyย into some bad passes in critical situations down the stretch. With Arizona State coming to town they willย have a chance to see their stock rise even more.

Defensive Unit Market

ย Symbolฮ”ฮ”%Total
Oregon DefenseOREDโ†“ย 53%$125
Arizona DefenseARID--$85
Utah DefenseUTAD--$80
ASU DefenseASUDโ†‘ย 58%$80
Cal DefenseCALD--$65
USC DefenseUSCDโ†“ย 1014%$60
Stanford DefenseSTADโ†“ย 1014%$60
UCLA DefenseUCLDโ†“ย 57%$60
OSU DefenseOSUDโ†‘ย 1028%$45
Colorado DefenseCOLDโ†‘ย 514%$40
UW DefenseUWDโ†‘ย 514%$40

Quarterback

The Stanford Cardinal finally ran out ofย Luckย this weekend, but it wasn't entirely the quarterback's fault. His stock went up $5, because of his solid play in the first half, but Luck will need to prove that he can produce when the running game is not working.ย Jake Lockerย (LOCK) has finally played like the game-breaker that he was touted as in the offseason. Now that they have the road win off their backs they're looking like a much more confident team. They have a tough game this weekend against Arizona State, but we're bearish on (LOCK) for the next couple weeks.

ย TeamSymbolฮ”ฮ”%Total
Andrew LuckStanfordLUCKโ†‘ย 53%$150.00
Nick FolesArizonaFOLE--$140.00
Matt BarkleyUSCBARKโ†‘ย 54%$130.00
Jake LockerUWLOCKโ†‘ย 2025%$100.00
Kevin RileyCalRILE--$70.00
Jordan WynnUtahWYNN--$65.00
Darron ThomasOregonDARRโ†‘ย 2057%$55.00
Tyler HansenColHANSโ†‘ย 512%$45.00
Ryan KatzUCLAPRNCโ†‘ย 1066%$25.00
Kevin PrinceOSUKATZ--$25.00
Steven ThreetASUTHREEโ†“533%$10

Wide Receiver

There was some movement at the top of the wide receiver list withย Jermaine Kearseย (JERM) overtaking Juron Criner in total value at $75. J-Kearse had six catches for 92 yards, but had a couple drops in the game. ย His teammateย Devin Aguilarย (AGUI) hauled in 5 balls for 83 yards and a 46-yard touchdown pass. ย Robert Woods(WOOD) didn't record any catches but his 56-yard kickoff return prevented his stock from falling.ย Ronald Johnsonย (ROJO) continues to impress this season, but hasn't been able to find the end zone at the same rate of his week one performance when he caught three touchdown passes.

ย TeamSymbolฮ”ฮ”%Total
Jermaine KearseUWJERMโ†‘ย 57%$75
Juron CrinerArizonaCRIN--$70
Ronald JohnsonUSCROJOโ†‘ย 58%$65
James RodgersOSUJROD--$55
Jeff MaehlOregonMAELโ†‘ย 1022%$55
Marvin JonesCalMARV--$45
Robert WoodsUSCWOOD--$30
Doug BaldwinStanfordBALD--$25
Devin AguilarUWAGUIโ†‘ย 1066%$25
David AusberryUSCBERYโ†‘ย 533%$20
Keenan AllenCalKEEN--$15
DeVonte ChristopherUtahDEVO--$15

Running Back

We had three performances this week with running backs going over 200 yards. LaMichael Jamesย (LMJ),ย Allen Bradfordย (BRAD), andย Johnathan Franklinย (FRNK) all eclipsed the number and scored touchdowns. Bradford saw the largest increase in stock by going up 80 percent in USC's loss to Washington. If Lane Kiffin knew how to call a game he would have run Bradford more and taken him closer to the 300 yard mark.

ย TeamSymbolฮ”ฮ”%Total
JacQuizz RodgersOSUJQRโ†‘ย 108%$125
LaMichael JamesOregonLMJโ†‘ย 2015%$150
Shane VereenCalVERE--$95
Chris PolkUWPOLKโ†‘ย 1013%$85
Kenjon BarnerOregonBARNโ†“1028%$25
Johnathan FranklinUCLAFRNKโ†‘ย 2066%$50
Nic GrigsbyArizonaGRIG--$25
Allen BradfordUSCBRADโ†‘ย 2080%$45
Cameron MarshallASUMRSH--$20
Marc TylerUSCMARCโ†‘ย 525%$25
Deantre LewisASUDEANโ†‘ย 516%$35
Stepfan TaylorStanfordSTEPโ†‘ย 1066%$25

IPO's

One player that's made a huge impact for his team in the past few weeks has been Derrick Coleman (COLE) of UCLA. He had 185 yards and three touchdowns against Washington State and 94 yards and a touchdown in the upset over No. 7 Texas. He'll face a salty defense against Cal this weekend where the Bruins haven't won since the 90s. Two wide receivers have caught our attention lately, the 6'5"Jared Karstetterย (KARS) of Washington State, andย Kerry Taylorย (KERY) of Arizona State. Karstetter uses his size well and lit up UCLA's talented secondary. Taylor has great body control and concentration to haul in tough grabs. Hisย over the shoulder catchย against Oregon was a thing of beauty.

ย TeamSymbolฮ”ฮ”%Total
Derrick ColemanUCLACOLE--$25
Jared KarstetterWSUKARS--$20
Kerry TaylorASUKERY--$15

You can read more of our stuff at Leader of the Pac, and if you would like to learn more about the NASPAQ you can find it here.ย 

Bryce Reacts to Missed FG ๐Ÿ˜ง