NFL Picks Week 2: Breaking Down the Games Against the Spread

(Week 1 against the spread record: 5-2)

After a near seven long months, football season finally came back to us and it did not disappoint.

Week one had some absolutely amazing games and insane performances.

Week two is certain to be no different with the lineup of games we have set for Sunday and Vegas has given us the spread for these games.

But out of all of these spreads, which ones did Vegas get wrong?

Buffalo at Green Bay: Green Bay -13

Philadelphia at Detroit: Philadelphia -6

Seattle at Denver: Denver -3.5

Pittsburgh at Tennessee: Tennessee -5

Arizona at Atlanta: Atlanta -6.5

Houston at Washington: Houston -3

Jacksonville at San Diego: San Diego -7

Kansas City at Cleveland: Cleveland -2

Tampa Bay at Carolina: Carolina -3.5

New England at New York Jets: New England -3

Miami at Minnesota: Minnesota -5.5

St. Louis at Oakland: Oakland -3.5

New York Giants at Indianapolis: Indianapolis -5.5

Baltimore at Cincinnati: Baltimore -2

New Orleans at San Francisco: New Orleans -5.5

Chicago at Dallas: Dallas -7.5

Kansas City +2 at Cleveland

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

ATLANTA - AUGUST 13: Eric Berry #29 of the Kansas City Chiefs against the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on August 13, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Kansas City not only beat their AFC West rival, the San Diego Chargers.

They did it convincingly.

Cleveland struggled against a weak Tampa Bay team last week and couldn't get the job done even when many thought Jerome Harrison would run all over them.

The Chiefs have a better running game, a better passing game and a much improved defense as we saw Monday night when they played the Chargers.

Take Kansas City to win or at least cover this game.

Seattle +3.5 at Denver

Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

SEATTLE - SEPTEMBER 12: Head coach Pete Carroll of the Seattle Seahawks looks on during the NFL season opener against the San Francisco 49ers at Qwest Field on September 12, 2010 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images)

The Seattle Seahawks came out last week and took care of business against the division favorite San Francisco 49ers.

On the other side of the ball we see Denver who struggled against a weak Jacksonville team likely to finish last in their division.

Pete Carrol has his team on fire early and I don't see Denver changing that this week.

Bet on Seattle to beat Denver or at worst cover the spread.

New England -3 at New York Jets

Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - SEPTEMBER 13: Mark Sanchez #6 of the New York Jets throws a pass against the Baltimore Ravens during their home opener at the New Meadowlands Stadium on September 13, 2010 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty

I called Baltimore to beat the Jets last week even though I believe this Jets team has what it takes to go very far this season.

In fact, I believe that will go so far as to win the division.

And that includes beating the favored New England Patriots in the New Meadowlands Stadium.

There are about 25 teams in the NFL I would pick the Patriots to beat.

But these defensive monsters known as the New York Jets are not one of them.

The Jets are likely to get the only New York win this week, or they will at least cover and keep it within three.

Arizona +6.5 at Atlanta

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GLENDALE, AZ - AUGUST 14: Wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald #11 of the Arizona Cardinals during preseason NFL game against the Houston Texans at the University of Phoenix Stadium on August 14, 2010 in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals defeated the Texans 19

The loss of Kurt Warner really showed when they barely beat the St. Louis Rams last week.

And to many, Atlanta is a favorite to upset and win the NFC South.

Still, a 6.5 spread is a bit much and while I can definitely see Atlanta winning, I still think it will be a very close game.

I wouldn't go as far as saying Arizona will win this game, but I easily see them covering the spread.

St. Louis +3 at Oakland

Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images

ST. LOUIS - SEPTEMBER 2: Sam Bradford #8 of the St. Louis Rams passes against the Baltimore Ravens during an NFL preseason game at the Edward Jones Dome on September 2, 2010 in St. Louis, Missouri. (Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

The Rams rookie QB didn't look absolutely terrible against the Cardinals, and I like to think Arizona is a much better team than Oakland.

After all, Oakland did just get embarrassed by the Tennessee Titans last week.

And with a struggling run defense, look for Steven Jackson to seize the opportunity.

I can see St. Louis winning this game or covering and keeping it within three at worst.

Pittsburgh +5 at Tennessee

Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

PITTSBURGH - SEPTEMBER 12: Rashard Mendenhall #34 of the Pittsburgh Steelers attempts to run through Sean Weatherspoon #56 of the Atlanta Falcons during the NFL season opener game on September 12, 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo

Having both Chris Johnson and Rashard Mendenhall on my fantasy team made me look brilliant last week.

Granted, they both only really had one big run the entire game.

CJ2K has had success against the Steelers in the past and I don't expect him to slow down.

But saying Tennessee's defense isn't still in a rebuilding phase would be a lie.

Tennessee will likely win the game and pick up a nice 2-0 start to the season.

But to say the Steelers won't at least cover this five point spread is a little sketchy.

Jacksonville +7 at San Diego

Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

JACKSONVILLE, FL - SEPTEMBER 12: Maurice Jones-Drew #32 of the Jacksonville Jaguars runs for yardage during the NFL season opener game against the Denver Broncos at EverBank Field on September 12, 2010 in Jacksonville, Florida. (Photo by Sam Greenwood/G

Now now, hear me out.

Jacksonville proved me wrong last week by beating the Broncos when I thought they didn't stand a chance.

And San Diego is coming off a loss to the Chiefs.

The Chargers proved they have a few points in their game they need to work on.

Still, I actually do see San Diego winning this one, but Jacksonville has enough momentum from last week to keep it within seven and cover.

Baltimore -2 at Cincinnati

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FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 12: Chad Ochocinco #85 of the Cincinnati Bengals looks to the bench for direction against the New England Patriots during the NFL season opener on September 12, 2010 at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Elsa/Ge

The Bengals were getting their butts whipped by the Patriots last week.

Then the second half came around and the Bengals offense started clicking.

And true, the Bengals still lost the game.

But if they can keep that momentum they started in the second half of last weeks game, they will be a dangerous team on Sunday.

I picked Baltimore to upset the Jets last week, but Ray Rice and the Ravens' upgraded receiving core struggled to get started.

Should they struggle to get going again this week, the Bengals will capitalize and upset the powers that be in Vegas by not only covering, but winning this game.