The NFL Hedge Fund: Week 14 Best Bets

The football Black Box generates top five picks weekly for spreads and moneylines.

Note that "Bet Soon" indicates a pushable spread, and "x2!" indicates a double bet.

Here are the top five:

Spread Bets

1. SD Pick'em v. TEN Away

2. ARI +7 v. SEA Away - Bet Soon

3. PIT +10 v. NE Away - Bet Soon

4. STL +6.5 v. CIN Away

5. KC +6.5 v. DEN Away

Moneyline Bets 

1. NO -220 v. ATL @Home

2. WAS -160 v. CHI Away

3. CLE -165 v. NYJ @Home

4. TB -150 v. HOU @Home

5. PHI -140 v. NYG Away

The current Box algorithm has returned the following in the last two seasons:

Buy In:	$100.00	Weeks With
Balance:	$2,474.43	>50% Returns:	16
$s Bet:	$5,022.68
Payouts:	$7,397.11	Weeks With
% Return:	2374.43%	<0% Returns:	4
2006 Ret:	912.84%
2007 Ret:	1461.59%

For more information, including suggested dollar amounts, go to Mental Handicap, the daily NFL betting blog.