Fantasy Football: Will Matt Forte Bounce Back for NFL Fantasy Owners?

Ryan Lester@LestersLegendsSenior Writer IAugust 26, 2010

DETROIT - JANUARY 03: Matt Forte #22 of the Chicago Bears looks for running room during a first quarter run while playing the Detroit Lions on January 3, 2010 at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan.  (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Matt Forte had an unbelievable rookie season, compiling 1,715 total yards (1,238 rushing) and 12 tocuhdowns (eight rushing).

Jay Cutler was brought in to keep defenses from stuffing the box. Forte was going in the top five of fantasy drafts. Then 2009 happened.

It wasn’t an utter failure, as he piled up 1,400 total yards (929 rushing) and 4 touchdowns, but a far cry from his brilliant rookie season and fantasy owners' expectations.

He failed to top 70 rushing yards in 11 games last year. He had 62 or fewer total yards, without a touchdown, I might add, in four of his first six games.

Imagine getting 6.2 or fewer points from your No. 1 pick four out of six times to start the year. He killed fantasy owners.

That’s why it shouldn’t be a surprise why his ADP, according to Mock Draft Central, sits at 44 (22nd running back).

I have him right around the same place (click to see my 2010 RB rankings). With Chester Taylor and Mike Martz in town, it’s easy to see why people have soured on Forte.

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He didn’t help matters when he ran for seven yards on four carries in the preseason opener against the Chargers. Things, however, may have changed in the Bears’ second preseason game.

Forte ripped off an 89-yard touchdown run on his way to 109 yards on five carries. Clearly the burst that seemed to be missing is back.

While Chester Taylor’s arrival may hurt him in the passing game, and subsequently knock his PPR value down a bit, Forte could be better served by having fresh legs down the stretch.

That could be important because the Bears play in Buffalo, Green Bay, and four times in Chicago from Week Nine (Nov. 7) on. With those potential bad-weather games, Forte could be very busy as the season winds down. Having somewhat fresh legs will go a long way.

If you aren’t able to draft Forte, you may be able to get him early in the season as he plays the Cowboys, Packers, and Giants in Weeks 2-4. If he struggles early, he could become an excellent buy-low candidate.

With a fantasy playoff schedule of New England, Minnesota, and the Jets, he may not help when you need it the most, but he can help get you there.

What are your thoughts on Matt Forte?

Also check out:
2010 Top 30 Fantasy QB Rankings
2010 Top 50 Fantasy RB Rankings
2010 Top 60 Fantasy WR Rankings
2010 Top 25 Fantasy TE Rankings
2010 Top 25 Fantasy IDP Rankings
2010 Top 25 Team Defense Rankings
2010 Top 15 Fantasy K Rankings

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