UFC 111 Betting Odds

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Georges St. Pierre (-700) vs. Dan Hardy (+450): I don't remember seeing odds this high since GSP took on Matt Serra. However, I'm not suggesting that lightning will strike twice...not at all. Yes, GSP will win this but the oddsmakers have made it so that the investment needed to win anything is huge. We all know what is going to happen, but it's not even worth the bet.

No bet.

Frank Mir (-150) vs. Shane Carwin (+120): I really like the odds on Carwin here. He's got a very similar skill set to that of Brock Lesnar, and I don't think he's careless enough to get subbed. I see this fight as an even match, with Carwin holding the slight edge. As a result, the Carwin underdog line has me excited.

Bet 1 unit to win 1.2 units.

Ricardo Almeida (-155) vs. Matt Brown (+125): All signs point to an Almeida submission victory but let's not count Matt Brown out quite yet. He's 4-1 in the UFC and has been steadily improving under the tutelage of Wanderlei Silva. I like the play on Brown here, believe it or not. I think his ability to gameplan is some of the best in the sport.

Bet 1 unit to win 1.25 units.

Rousimar Palhares (-250) vs. Tomasz Drwal (+200): Drwal has seen somewhat of a resurgence as of late (3 straight wins) but Palhares jits is too slick. Palhares with the submission victory, but I don't like the numbers.

No bet.

Jim Miller (-400) vs. Mark Bocek (+300): Miller should win this thing going away, thanks to his outstanding technical skill. However, the -400 is enough to scare me away. It should scare you, too.

No bet.

Matt Riddle (-230) vs. Greg Soto (+180): Soto's got the better BJJ degree and believe it or not, more experience in MMA (although not in the UFC - this is his debut). Upset special right here.

Bet 1 unit to win 1.8 units.

Kurt Pellegrino (-230) vs. Fabricio Camoes (+180): I like Camoes a good deal but I don't think he's ready to face the caliber of fighter than Pellegrino is. I see Pellegrino's wrestling carrying him to a decision win, although the odds aren't enough to get me involved. If this goes under -200 for Pellegrino, then get involved. Until then...

No bet.