March Madness 65: Breakdown of All 65 Teams and at-Large Bids

UPDATED AS OF MARCH 8, 2010. (Updated Daily!)

When it comes to the tournament there are some teams that are locks, some are uncertain, and others are REALLY uncertain. I'm gonna single handedly break it down for you and show you who should be in and who should be out. All of which is debatable.

TEAMS LOCKED IN (34 Teams):

ACC: Clemson Duke Maryland
Atlantic Sun: East Tennessee State
Atlantic Ten: Richmond Temple Xavier
Big East: Georgetown Marquette Pittsburgh Syracuse Villanova West Virginia
Big South: Winthrop
Big 10: Purdue Michigan State Ohio State Wisconsin
Big 12: Baylor Kansas Kansas State Missouri Texas Texas A&M
Horizon: Butler
Ivy: Cornell
Missouri Valley: Northern Iowa
Mountain West: BYU New Mexico
Ohio Valley: Murray State
SEC: Kentucky Tennessee Vanderbilt
West Coast: Gonzaga

CURRENT CONFERENCE LEADERS (17 teams):

American East: Vermont
Big Sky: Weber State
Big West: UC Santa Barbara
Colonial: Old Dominion
C-USA: UTEP
MAAC: Siena
MAC: Kent State or Akron (your toss-up)
MEAC: Morgan State
Northeast: Quinnipiac
Pac-10: California
Patriot: Lehigh
SOCON: Wofford
Southland: Sam Houston State
SWAC: Jackson State
Summit: Oakland
Sunbelt: Troy
WAC: Utah State

With that being said there are 51 teams already locked in. Here is a breakdown of what should be the rest of the order.

100% SAFE TEAMS

52 Oklahoma State (21-9) Big-12 (9-7)
Oklahoma State has key wins against Kansas, Kansas State, Texas A&M, and Baylor. RPI:27 SOS:19

53 Wake Forest (19-9) ACC (9-7)
Wake Forest has key wins against Xavier, Maryland, Richmond, Clemson, Georgia Tech, and Gonzaga. RPI:34 SOS:32

54 Florida State (22-8) ACC (10-6)
Florida State has key wins against Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, Marquette and Virginia Tech. 7 wins in the RPI top 100. RPI:36 SOS: 42

55 UNLV (22-7) Mountain West (11-5)
UNLV has key wins against New Mexico, BYU, Louisville, and San Diego State. RPI:44 SOS:90

56 Louisville (20-11) Big East (11-7)
Louisville has key wins against Syracuse, Connecticut, Cincinnati, Notre Dame and South Florida. RPI:37 SOS:7

BREAKING OUT OF THE BUBBLE

57 Georgia Tech (18-11) ACC (7-9)
Georgia Tech has key wins against Duke, Wake Forest, Clemson, Siena, and Charlotte. RPI:35 SOS:21

58 Rhode Island (21-8) Atlantic Ten (9-7)
Rhode Island has key wins against Oklahoma State, Dayton, and Charlotte. RPI:30 SOS: 63

59 Mississippi (21-9) SEC (9-7)
Mississippi has key wins against Kansas State and UTEP. RPI:57 SOS: 69

60 Florida (20-11) SEC (9-7)
Florida has key wins against Tennessee, Michigan State, Florida State, Mississippi, Mississippi State. RPI:52 SOS:36

BUBBLE INS

61 Dayton (19-11) Atlantic Ten (8-8)
Dayton has key wins against Xavier, Georgia Tech, Old Dominion and Charlotte. RPI:42 SOS:34

62 Notre Dame (21-10) Big East (10-8)
Notre Dame has key wins against Georgetown, Pittsburgh, West Virginia, Connecticut, Cincinnati, Marquette and South Florida. RPI:65 SOS:55

63 St. Mary's (24-5) WCC (11-3)
St. Mary's has key wins against Utah State and San Diego State. RPI:45 SOS:143

64 San Diego State (20-8) Mountain West (11-5)
San Diego State has key wins against New Mexico and UNLV. RPI:31 SOS:58

65 Virginia Tech (23-7) ACC (10-6)
Virginia Tech has key wins against Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Clemson and Seton Hall. RPI:55 SOS:132

FIRST FIVE OUT

66 Connecticut (17-14) Big East (7-11)
Connecticut has key wins against Villanova, West Virginia, Texas, Notre Dame and Seton Hall. RPI:49 SOS:2

67 Charlotte (19-11) Atlantic Ten (9-7)
Charlotte has key wins against Temple, Richmond and Louisville. RPI:60 SOS:92

68 Washington (21-9) Pac Ten (11-7)
Washington has key wins against Texas A&M, California and Arizona State. RPI:53 SOS:60

69 UAB (23-7) C-USA (11-5)
UAB has key wins against Butler and Cincinnati. RPI:41 SOS:101

70 Seton Hall (18-11) Big East (9-9)
Seton Hall has key wins against Pittsburgh, Louisville, Cincinnati, Cornell and Notre Dame. RPI:56 SOS:25

LOTS OF WORK TO DO

71 Illinois (18-13) Big Ten (10-8)
Illinois has key wins against Vanderbilt, Wisconsin, Michigan State and Clemson. RPI:71 SOS:47

72 Memphis (22-8) C-USA (12-3)
Memphis has key wins against UAB. RPI:50 SOS:85

73 South Florida (18-11) Big East (9-9)
South Florida has key wins against Pittsburgh, Seton Hall, Georgetown, and Cincinnati. RPI:67 SOS:50

74 Arizona State (21-9) Pac-10 (12-6)
Arizona State has key wins against San Diego State and Washington. RPI:55 SOS:69

75 Wichita State (25-9) Missouri Valley (12-6)
Wichita State has key wins against Northern Iowa and Texas Tech. RPI:51 SOS:121

76 Cincinnati (16-14) Big East (7-11)
Cincinnati has key wins against Vanderbilt, Maryland, Connecticut and Notre Dame. RPI: 63 SOS:12

Teams Currently At-Large Leading Conferences Who Can Still Place Bid With Loss in Conference Tournament:

California (21-9) (13-5) (BREAKING OUT THE BUBBLE, either 59 or 60)
California has key wins against Washington and Arizona State. RPI:22 SOS:9

Kent State (23-8) (12-3) (LOTS OF WORK TO DO, either 76 or lower)
Kent State has a key win against UAB. RPI:42 SOS:88

Old Dominion (25-8) (16-3) (FIRST FIVE OUT, either 66 or 67)
Old Dominion has key wins against Georgetown and Charlotte. RPI: 39 SOS:91

Siena (25-6) (17-1) (FIRST FIVE OUT, 69 or 70)
Siena has no key wins. RPI:40 SOS:137

UTEP (24-5) (15-1) (BUBBLE-INS 58 or 59)
UTEP has key wins against UAB, Memphis, New Mexico State. RPI:43 SOS:131
 
Utah State (24-6) (14-2) (BUBBLE-INS, either 57 or 58)
Utah State has key wins against BYU and Wichita State. RPI:33 SOS:105