Projecting The Field Of 65: Who's In? Who's Out?

When it comes to the tournament, there are some teams that are locks, some are uncertain, and others are REALLY uncertain. I'm gonna single-handedly break it down for you and show you who should be in and who should be out. All of which is debatable.

TEAMS LOCKED IN (30 Teams):

ACC: Clemson Duke Maryland
Atlantic 10: Richmond Temple Xavier
Big 12: Baylor Kansas Kansas State Missouri Texas Texas A&M
Big East: Georgetown Marquette Pittsburgh Syracuse Villanova West Virginia
Big 10: Purdue Michigan State Ohio State Wisconsin
Horizon: Butler
Ivy: Cornell
Mountain West: BYU New Mexico
SEC: Kentucky Tennessee Vanderbilt
WCC: Gonzaga

CURRENT CONFERENCE LEADERS (21 teams):

American East: Stony Brook
Atlantic Sun: East Tennessee State
Big Sky: Weber State
Big South: Coastal Carolina
Big West: UC Santa Barbara
CAAC: Old Dominion
Great West: South Dakota
MAAC: Siena
MAC: Akron
MEAC: Morgan State
MVC: Northern Iowa
Northeast: Quinnipiac
Ohio Valley: Murray State
Pac-10: California
Patriot: Lehigh
SOCON: Wofford
Southland: Sam Houston State
SWAC: Jackson State
Summit: Oakland
Sunbelt: North Texas
WAC: Utah State

With that being said, there are 51 teams already locked in. Here is a breakdown of what should be the rest of the order.

100 Percent SAFE TEAMS

52 Oklahoma State (20-9) Big-12 (8-7)
Oklahoma State has key wins against Kansas, Kansas State, Texas A&M, and Baylor. RPI:27 SOS:19

53 Florida State (21-8) ACC (9-6)
Florida State has key wins against Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, Marquette and Virginia Tech. 7 wins in the RPI top 100. RPI:36 SOS: 42

54 Wake Forest (18-9) ACC (8-7)
Wake Forest has key wins against Xavier, Maryland, Richmond, Georgia Tech, and Gonzaga. RPI:34 SOS:32

55 Rhode Island (21-7) Atlantic Ten (9-6)
Rhode Island has key wins against Oklahoma State, Dayton, and Charlotte. RPI:30 SOS: 63

FIRST FIVE IN

56 UNLV (21-7) Mountain West (10-5)
UNLV has key wins against New Mexico, BYU, Louisville, and San Diego State. RPI:44 SOS:90

57 Georgia Tech (18-10) ACC (7-8)
Georgia Tech has key wins against Duke, Wake Forest, Clemson, Siena, and Charlotte. RPI:35 SOS:21

58 Dayton (19-10) Atlantic Ten (8-7)
Dayton has key wins against Xavier, Georgia Tech, Old Dominion and Charlotte. RPI:42 SOS:34

59 Louisville (19-11) Big East (10-7)
Louisville has key wins against Syracuse, Connecticut, Cincinnati, Notre Dame and South Florida. RPI:37 SOS:7

60 UTEP (23-5) C-USA (14-1)
UTEP has key wins against UAB, Memphis, New Mexico State. RPI:43 SOS:131

BUBBLE INS

61 Florida (20-10) SEC (9-6)
Florida has key wins against Tennessee, Michigan State, Florida State, Mississippi, Mississippi State. RPI:52 SOS:36

62 Mississippi (20-9) SEC (8-7)
Mississippi has key wins against Kansas State and UTEP. RPI:57 SOS: 69

63 Notre Dame (20-10) Big East (9-8)
Notre Dame has key wins against Georgetown, Pittsburgh, West Virginia, Connecticut, Cincinnati and South Florida. RPI:65 SOS:55

64 St. Mary's (23-5) WCC (11-3)
St. Mary's has key wins against Utah State and San Diego State. RPI:45 SOS:143

65 San Diego State (19-8) Mountain West (10-5)
San Diego State has key wins against New Mexico and UNLV. RPI:31 SOS:58

FIRST FIVE OUT

66 Connecticut (17-13) Big East (7-10)
Connecticut has key wins against Villanova, West Virginia, Texas, Notre Dame and Seton Hall. RPI:49 SOS:2

67 Virginia Tech (22-7) ACC (9-6)
Virginia Tech has key wins against Wake Forest, Clemson and Seton Hall. RPI:55 SOS:132

68 Charlotte (19-10) Atlantic Ten (9-6)
Charlotte has key wins against Temple, Richmond and Louisville. RPI:60 SOS:92

69 Illinois (18-12) Big Ten (10-7)
Illinois has key wins against Vanderbilt, Wisconsin, Michigan State and Clemson. RPI:71 SOS:47

70 UAB (23-6) C-USA (11-4)
UAB has key wins against Butler and Cincinnati. RPI:41 SOS:101

LOTS OF WORK TO DO

71 Seton Hall (17-11) Big East (8-9)
Seton Hall has key wins against Pittsburgh, Louisville, Cincinnati, Cornell and Notre Dame. RPI:56 SOS:25

72 Cincinnati (16-13) Big East (7-10)
Cincinnati has key wins against Vanderbilt, Maryland, Connecticut and Notre Dame. RPI: 63 SOS:12

73 Memphis (22-8) C-USA (12-3)
Memphis has key wins against UAB. RPI:50 SOS:85

74 Washington (20-9) Pac Ten (10-7)
Washington has key wins against Texas A&M, California and Arizona State. RPI:53 SOS:60

75 Wichita State (24-8) MVC (12-6)
Wichita State has key wins against Northern Iowa and Texas Tech. RPI:51 SOS:121

Teams Currently At-Large Leading Conferences Who Can Still Place Bid With Loss in Conference Tournament:

California (20-9)(12-5) (First Five In, either 59 or 60)
California has key wins against Washington and Arizona State. RPI:22 SOS:9

Northern Iowa (26-4) (15-3) (100% Safe, either 53 or 54)
Northern Iowa has key wins against Siena, Old Dominion, and Wichita State. RPI:21 SOS:108

Old Dominion (23-8) CAA (15-3) (First Five Out, either 66 or 67)
Old Dominion has key wins against Georgetown and Charlotte. RPI: 39 SOS:91

Siena (24-6) (17-1) (First Five Out, 69 or 70)
Siena has no key wins. RPI:40 SOS:137
 
Utah State (23-6)(13-2) (First Five In, either 57 or 58)
Utah State has key wins against BYU and Wichita State. RPI:33 SOS:105