Fantasy Baseball Profile: Will Jason Bay's Move To the Mets Sink His Stats?

I was very high on Jason Bay last year. I figured he would drive in a ton of runs with Jacoby Ellsbury and Dustin Pedroia at the top of Boston’s lineup.

He did not disappoint with 36 HRs and 119 RBI despite missing 11 games.

He’s moved on to the Mets this year, and he still figures to have plenty of opportunities hitting behind the likes of Jose Reyes and David Wright.

Bay has reached 100-plus RBI in four of his last five years, with nearly four of those years coming in Pittsburgh, so I don’t see him having a problem reaching that figure.

He has also reached 100-plus runs, 30-plus HRs, and 10-plus SBs in four of those five years. If you take away his down year (2007), he’s quietly been one of the best all-around outfielders in baseball.

I’m afraid he’ll have a hard time reaching two of those marks this year though. The move to Citi Field will likely cost him some HRs. I’m expecting more doubles and fewer long balls this year. I’m also not confident enough in the Mets’ offense that he’ll reach 100 runs.

Despite those two question marks, I still think he makes for a No. 1 fantasy outfielder (click to see rankings ). He should be solid in all five categories.

Prediction: .280, 90 runs, 27 HRs, 105 RBI, 10 SBs

Past profiles

Arizona Diamondbacks: Brandon Webb
Atlanta Braves: Yunel Escobar
Baltimore Orioles: Adam Jones
Boston Red Sox: Clay Buchholz
Chicago Cubs: Geovany Soto
Chicago White Sox: Jake Peavy
Cincinnati Reds: Joey Votto  
Cleveland Indians: Grady Sizemore
Colorado Rockies: Ubaldo Jimenez
Detroit Tigers: Miguel Cabrera
Florida Marlins: Cameron Maybin
Houston Astros: Lance Berkman
Kansas City Royals: Billy Butler
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim: Howie Kendrick
Los Angeles Dodgers: James Loney
Milwaukee Brewers: Corey Hart
Minnesota Twins: Joe Nathan

Originally published at LestersLegends.com .