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Wacky Wild Card Weekend set to Begin

stephen rileyJan 5, 2010

I know Iโ€™ve been absent for the last couple of weeks but you know how it is around the holidays. Family and friends absolutely donโ€™t believe you work and if they do believe you work, wellโ€ฆ they donโ€™t think your job is all that important anyway but regardless, 30-18 on the regular season and I guess you could say I get a clean slate for the postseason.

Well at least I think I should. I returned just in time for the best weekend (in my opinion) of the playoffs. Wild Card weekend always packs a bunch of surprises and spectacular plays. Ironically, this weekend will feature four rematches from the regular season and three rematches from last week alone.

If your favorite team was on the winning side of last weekendโ€™s matches then football follower beware. Itโ€™s typically difficult to beat a team in back-to-back weeks and teams can turn faces quick in the playoffs. Regular season powerhouses turn into first round exiters and mediocre teams turn into giants. Should be fun either way. Read along and enjoy the best weekend (in my opinion) of the playoffs.

New York Jets (9-7) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (10-6) 4:30 p.m. Sat

Say what you want, but 37-0 isnโ€™t something that just happens. You donโ€™t just get walloped 37-0 and expect to bounce back and beat the same team that smacked you 37-0 the very next week. As tough as it sounds, the Bengals will attempt to recover from a season finale shutout to the hands of quietly solid Jets.

New York has won five out of their lastย six games and will enter the playoffs on a defensive tear. Aside fromย finishing the season as the top overall unit, the Jets have allowed just 47 points in their last six games, good for a paltry 7.8 points per contest in the last month and a half of the year. Nobody, I repeat: NOBODY gets open when third-year coverman Darrelle Revis locks horns with them and head coach Rex Ryan has transformed his defensive troops into a lockdown unit.

The Jets have the leagueโ€™s top running game and everything sets up perfectly to wheel rookie QB Mark Sanchez along slowly. New York will implement the same principles when they square off against the Bengals in the opening postseason game and that could spell trouble for the once-hyped Bengals. While the Jets donโ€™t allow teams to score, the Bengals donโ€™t score much at all anyway. Cincinnati has averaged just 15.7 points per game in their last nine contests and could be without the services of leading receiver Chad Ochocinco, who bruised his knee in warm-ups last week against the Jets.

Regardless if Ochocinco plays or not, itโ€™s a lose-lose scenario for the Bengals. If he does play, heโ€™ll have Revis draped all over him. If he doesnโ€™t play, Revis will just be draped all over the Bengalsโ€™ next best wideout, reducing Cincy quarterback Carson Palmerโ€™s list of targets even more. The Bengals have lost three of their last four games and are backing their way into the playoffs without anything clicking. The once-stingy defense has allowed 26 points per game over the last four contests and Palmer has only passed for more than 200 yards in three ofย the last seven full games that heโ€™s played. Things donโ€™t look good for Cincy. Jets 23-16

Philadelphia Eagles (11-5) vs. Dallas Cowboys (11-5) 8 p.m. Sat

Say what you want, but 24-0 isnโ€™t something that just happens. You donโ€™t just get walloped 24-0 and expect to bounce back and beat the same team that smacked you 24-0 the very next week. Although youโ€™ve read it before, last Sundayโ€™s loss against the Cowboys pointed out the obvious for the Eagles: they donโ€™t match up well with the โ€˜Boys.

Philly built an 11-5 record this season on big plays and an opportunistic defense. The last two meetings that theyโ€™ve encountered the โ€˜Boys, Dallas has used a ball control offense and paid close attention to the Eaglesโ€™ aerial attack to take their big-play offense out of the game. The Cowboys have tried to bait Philly into transforming into a running team by focusing heavily on defending their passing attack.

Because of the Eaglesโ€™ plethora of playmakers at the receiver position, itโ€™s worked perfectly for Dallas in both games as the Eagles became too bored to stick with a grind-it-out gameplan. Expect Dallas to stick to the same strategy this weekend as they go for the always tough three-game sweep of the Eagles. Philadelphia head coach Andy Reid is never going to be a pound and ground coach as long as he has Donovan McNabb at the quarterback controls and DeSean Jackson at the wing but heโ€™ll need to counter this week.

The Eagles will need to force turnovers from Dallas if they want to pull the upset on the road in Big D but as long as the Cowboys stick to a run-heavy formula, turnovers will be hard to come across for the Eagles. Dallas has been known to force the passing game on certain occasions and could feel compelled to get into a shouting match with Philadelphia if the Eagles score early. Itโ€™s hard picking a team to lose its third game in a season to one opponent but if Dallas sticks to the formula, they should handle Philadelphia with ease. Cowboys 27-17

Baltimore Ravens (9-7) vs. New England Patriots (10-6) 1 p.m. Sun

Playoff rematches of regular season matches are always so intriguing, especially when you get two dominant teamsย like the Patriots and Ravens. New England will have to adjust after they lost the NFLโ€™s leading receiver Wes Welker to a blown knee in their season finale against the Houston Texans.

While the loss of Welker is a definite blow, his replacement, rookie receiver Julian Edelman, has posted 21 catches and 221 yards in the three games that Welker has missed this season, proving that he is more than capable of picking up the slack. The Patriots Tom Brady and Randy Moss will also attempt to pick up the slack in Welkerโ€™s absence and thatโ€™s never a bad pair of helping hands but Brady may need a helping hand himself after showing up on the injury report in the past few weeks with broken ribs and a finger injury on his throwing hand.

Playing against the Ravens is never an ideal scenario for a banged up QB but Baltimore hasnโ€™t been the same ferocious unit of yearsโ€™ past. The Ravens ranked 18th in sacks this season and New Englandโ€™s recent reemphasis on the running game could help nullify Bradyโ€™s lingering injuries. Baltimoreโ€™s sophomore backfield of Ray Rice and Joe Flacco has been pretty special all season and theyโ€™ll be expected to once again lead the Ravens in a tough game.

Road playoffs games arenโ€™t anything new to Flacco, who went 2-1 on the road in last yearโ€™s postseason but Patriots coach Bill Belichick loves to turn up the heat on young signal callers in the postseason and heโ€™ll make no exception for Flacco and Co. Both the Patriots and Ravens are evenly matched throughout their teams but the postseason is all about quarterback play. In a game between Flacco and Bradyโ€ฆ well โ€ฆ. you can never go wrong with taking a three-time Super Bowl winning quarterback over a three-game postseason signal caller. Patriots 24-21

Green Bay Packers (11-5) vs. Arizona Cardinals (10-6) 4:40 p.m. Sun

Wow! Wellโ€ฆ when we last left the Cardinals they were getting blasted to the tune of 33-7 in their season finale to hot Packers BUT that was on a 4-for-6 performance from starting QB Kurt Warner who was pulled from the game early. Nevertheless, the Packers never let up as they went ahead by as much as 33-0 at one point in the game.

The Cardinals may face a consecutive postseason with a hobbled Anquan Boldin, who left the game with an ankle injury. While Boldinโ€™s loss would be huge, the Cardinals were dealt a triple blow when starting corner Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and starting defensive lineman Calais Campbell were forced out of the game with serious-looking injuries. If all three are forced to miss any time, Arizonaโ€™s chances at a repeat Super Bowl appearance would take a significant dent.

The Packers arenโ€™t without their own significant injury concerns as do-it-all- defensive back Charles Woodson suffered a shoulder injury that left him wrapped up on the sidelines during the gameโ€™s closing moments. Woodson is expected to play and against Arizonaโ€™s remaining healthy receivers such as Larry Fitzgerald and Steve Breaston, Green Bay can ill-afford for Woodson to miss any time. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is well-equipped to handle the duties of carrying Green Bay regardless of who misses time for the Packers but keep in mind, itโ€™s a team sport.

And nobody knows the team sport better than the Packersโ€™ Rodgers. Rodgers has found nine different receivers in his 30 touchdown mark and his reluctance to key on one receiver forces defenses to account for every member of the Packers offense. The Cardinals have a formidable secondary when Rodgers-Cromartie plays but with DRCโ€™s status in question, Rodgers could be open for a field day.

If itโ€™s two teams in the NFC that I love, itโ€™s Arizona and Green Bay. While neither team is the ideal picture of healthy right now, itโ€™s hard to go against the grain of a hot Green Bay team. I think if Rodgers has time, he could put up 30 against any defense remaining in the playoffs and with the Cardinalsโ€™ best corner ailing, Rodgers will be ready for an encore. Packers 28-23