NCAA Basketball Betting: St. Joseph's vs. Siena Odds & Pick: December 29th 2009

Free Pick: St. Joseph’s vs. Siena u153.0 (-110 odds)
Tue December 29th 2009 7:00p
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The Siena Saints have only gone Over once this season despite playing some potent offensive teams, and we look for them to keep the St. Josephs Hawks in check here, keying yet another Under.

Siena has won a game in the NCAA Tournament each of the last two seasons, and to further gain the appreciation of the nation, this MAAC team had a brutal non-conference schedule this season, yet they lived to tell about it. The Saints are 7-4, losing to Georgia Tech, Temple, Northern Iowa and St. Johns.

Despite not being shy to face some heavyweights, the Under is still 5-1 in all Siena games that have had a posted total, and according to the Pomeroy Ratings, the Saints rank number 50 in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency. They have allowed just 60.8 points per game on 39.1 percent shooting here at home, and they will appreciate facing a lower echelon Atlantic 10 team tonight.

The Hawks are just 4-7 straight up and 3-5 against the spread, and they are 0-3 in their only true road games this season while shooting just 40.9 percent from the field. One of those road losses came vs. another MAAC foe at Rider, where they lost 81-73. The Saints are the kings of the MAAC, and they rate much higher defensively than Rider does so we do not see the Hawks getting out of the 60s here.

Even if we go on the high end and give them 69 points, that would mean that Siena would need to score more than 84 points for this game not to stay Under, and that is no easy feat.

CBB Free Pick: St. Joseph’s, Siena Under 153 (-110)