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Week 16 NFL Fantasy Football Projections

Jake WestrichDec 22, 2009

This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football.

Each regular season game is simulated 10,001 times. This allows us to account for every player and statistical interaction in an NFL game.

Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of Tuesday each week. Information on scoring appears at the bottom of this article.

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Also feel free to check out our Week 16 picks and Power Rankings.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck with the rest of your season!

QuarterbackRunning BackWide ReceiverTight End
KickerTeam DefenseIndividual Defense
1.Chris JohnsonRBTitansChargers24.9
2.Frank GoreRB49ersLions22.9
3.Philip RiversQBChargersTitans21.4
4.Drew BreesQBSaintsBuccaneers21.1
5.Steven JacksonRBRamsCardinals20.7
6.Aaron RodgersQBPackersSeahawks20.3
7.Ben RoethlisbergerQBSteelersRavens20.3
8.Kurt WarnerQBCardinalsRams19.1
9.Tom BradyQBPatriotsJaguars18.7
10.Maurice Jones-DrewRBJaguarsPatriots18.3
11.Adrian PetersonRBVikingsBears18.2
12.Joe FlaccoQBRavensSteelers17.8
13.Alex SmithQB49ersLions17.7
14.Ricky WilliamsRBDolphinsTexans17.7
15.Ryan GrantRBPackersSeahawks17.3
16.Brett FavreQBVikingsBears17.1
17.Matt SchaubQBTexansDolphins17.0
18.Ray RiceRBRavensSteelers16.7
19.Jerome HarrisonRBBrownsRaiders16.0
20.Peyton ManningQBColtsJets15.8
21.Jamaal CharlesRBChiefsBengals15.7
22.Carson PalmerQBBengalsChiefs15.4
23.Tony RomoQBCowboysRedskins15.3
24.Matt HasselbeckQBSeahawksPackers15.1
25.Matt ForteRBBearsVikings15.0
26.Vince YoungQBTitansChargers14.9
27.Fred JacksonRBBillsFalcons14.9
28.Cedric BensonRBBengalsChiefs14.7
29.Pierre ThomasRBSaintsBuccaneers14.6
30.Donovan McNabbQBEaglesBroncos14.6
31.Rashard MendenhallRBSteelersRavens14.4
32.Jay CutlerQBBearsVikings14.3
33.Maurice MorrisRBLions49ers14.2
34.Eli ManningQBGiantsPanthers13.9
35.Joseph AddaiRBColtsJets13.7
36.David GarrardQBJaguarsPatriots13.6
37.Andre JohnsonWRTexansDolphins13.6
38.Mark SanchezQBJetsColts13.5
39.Kyle OrtonQBBroncosEagles13.4
40.Ryan FitzpatrickQBBillsFalcons13.0
41.Tony RichardsonRBJetsColts12.9
42.Josh FreemanQBBuccaneersSaints12.8
43.Jason CampbellQBRedskinsCowboys12.8
44.Jason SnellingRBFalconsBills12.6
45.Tim HightowerRBCardinalsRams12.6
46.Chad OchocincoWRBengalsChiefs12.1
47.Matt MooreQBPanthersGiants12.1
48.Derek AndersonQBBrownsRaiders11.9
49.Vincent JacksonWRChargersTitans11.8
50.Matt RyanQBFalconsBills11.8
51.Keith NullQBRamsCardinals11.7
52.Jonathan StewartRBPanthersGiants11.5
53.Matt CasselQBChiefsBengals11.5
54.Sidney RiceWRVikingsBears11.5
55.Carnell WilliamsRBBuccaneersSaints11.4
56.Antonio GatesTEChargersTitans11.4
57.Chad HenneQBDolphinsTexans11.4
58.Hines WardWRSteelersRavens11.3
59.Charlie FryeQBRaidersBrowns11.2
60.Reggie WayneWRColtsJets11.2
61.Beanie WellsRBCardinalsRams11.2
62.DeAngelo WilliamsRBPanthersGiants11.1
63.Santonio HolmesWRSteelersRavens11.0
64.Steve SmithWRGiantsPanthers11.0
65.Larry FitzgeraldWRCardinalsRams11.0
66.Steve SmithWRPanthersGiants10.9
67.Knowshon MorenoRBBroncosEagles10.9
68.LaDainian TomlinsonRBChargersTitans10.9
69.Marion BarberRBCowboysRedskins10.8
70.Daunte CulpepperQBLions49ers10.7
71.DeSean JacksonWREaglesBroncos10.5
72.Vernon DavisTE49ersLions10.5
73.Brandon JacobsRBGiantsPanthers10.4
74.Miles AustinWRCowboysRedskins10.2
75.Shayne GrahamKBengalsChiefs9.9
76.Greg JenningsWRPackersSeahawks9.8
77.Brandon MarshallWRBroncosEagles9.8
78.Derrick WardRBBuccaneersSaints9.8
79.Randy MossWRPatriotsJaguars9.7
80.Calvin JohnsonWRLions49ers9.7
81.Rob BironasKTitansChargers9.7
82.Marques ColstonWRSaintsBuccaneers9.6
83.Donald DriverWRPackersSeahawks9.6
84.Garrett HartleyKSaintsBuccaneers9.5
85.Reggie BushRBSaintsBuccaneers9.5
86.Roddy WhiteWRFalconsBills9.3
87.Ryan LongwellKVikingsBears9.3
88.Derrick MasonWRRavensSteelers9.2
89.Wes WelkerWRPatriotsJaguars9.2
90.Anquan BoldinWRCardinalsRams9.2
91.Shaun SuishamKCowboysRedskins9.1
92.Laurence MaroneyRBPatriotsJaguars9.0
93.Jeff ReedKSteelersRavens9.0
94.Matt StoverKColtsJets8.9
95.Dan CarpenterKDolphinsTexans8.9
96.Nate KaedingKChargersTitans8.8
97.Mason CrosbyKPackersSeahawks8.8
98.Michael BushRBRaidersBrowns8.7
99.Joe NedneyK49ersLions8.5
100.Rian LindellKBillsFalcons8.5
101.John CarlsonTESeahawksPackers8.5
102.Mohamed MassaquoiWRBrownsRaiders8.5
103.Stephen GostkowskiKPatriotsJaguars8.5
104.Justin FargasRBRaidersBrowns8.5
105.Chris ChambersWRChiefsBengals8.4
106.Jerious NorwoodRBFalconsBills8.4
107.Ahmad BradshawRBGiantsPanthers8.4
108.Josh BrownKRamsCardinals8.4
109.Jay FeelyKJetsColts8.3
110.John KasayKPanthersGiants8.2
111.Josh ScobeeKJaguarsPatriots8.0
112.Braylon EdwardsWRJetsColts8.0
113.T.J. HoushmandzadehWRSeahawksPackers8.0
114.Jason WittenTECowboysRedskins8.0
115.Jason HansonKLions49ers8.0
116.Justin ForsettRBSeahawksPackers8.0
117.Kenny BrittWRTitansChargers7.9
118.David AkersKEaglesBroncos7.9
119.Heath MillerTESteelersRavens7.8
120.Kevin FaulkRBPatriotsJaguars7.8
121.Kellen WinslowTEBuccaneersSaints7.8
122.Santana MossWRRedskinsCowboys7.7
123.Terrell OwensWRBillsFalcons7.7
124.ColtsDEF Jets7.6
125.Davone BessWRDolphinsTexans7.6
126.Correll BuckhalterRBBroncosEagles7.6
127.Percy HarvinWRVikingsBears7.6
128.Julius JonesRBSeahawksPackers7.6
129.Olindo MareKSeahawksPackers7.5
130.Pierre GarconWRColtsJets7.5
131.Marshawn LynchRBBillsFalcons7.5
132.Leonard WeaverRBEaglesBroncos7.4
133.Matt PraterKBroncosEagles7.4
134.Mike Sims-WalkerWRJaguarsPatriots7.3
135.Devery HendersonWRSaintsBuccaneers7.3
136.Lawrence TynesKGiantsPanthers7.3
137.Robbie GouldKBearsVikings7.3
138.DolphinsDEF Texans7.2
139.Kris BrownKTexansDolphins7.2
140.Felix JonesRBCowboysRedskins7.2
141.LeSean McCoyRBEaglesBroncos7.2
142.Matt BryantKFalconsBills7.1
143.VikingsDEF Bears7.1
144.Antonio BryantWRBuccaneersSaints7.0
145.Mike NugentKCardinalsRams7.0
146.Josh MorganWR49ersLions6.9
147.PackersDEF Seahawks6.9
148.RaidersDEF Browns6.9
149.Malcom FloydWRChargersTitans6.8
150.Brent CelekTEEaglesBroncos6.8
151.Quinton GantherRBRedskinsCowboys6.8
152.BrownsDEF Raiders6.7
153.SaintsDEF Buccaneers6.7
154.Zach MillerTERaidersBrowns6.7
155.Donnie AveryWRRamsCardinals6.7
156.Billy CundiffKRavensSteelers6.7
157.Michael CrabtreeWR49ersLions6.7
158.Ryan MoatsRBTexansDolphins6.7
159.Lee EvansWRBillsFalcons6.6
160.Louis MurphyWRRaidersBrowns6.5
161.Earl BennettWRBearsVikings6.5
162.Dustin KellerTEJetsColts6.4
163.49ersDEF Lions6.4
164.Connor BarthKBuccaneersSaints6.4
165.Jerricho CotcheryWRJetsColts6.4
166.Dallas ClarkTEColtsJets6.3
167.Ryan SuccopKChiefsBengals6.3
168.Mark ClaytonWRRavensSteelers6.2
169.Torry HoltWRJaguarsPatriots6.2
170.Jermichael FinleyTEPackersSeahawks6.2
171.BengalsDEF Chiefs6.1
172.Hakeem NicksWRGiantsPanthers6.1
173.Sebastian JanikowskiKRaidersBrowns6.1
174.BillsDEF Falcons6.1
175.EaglesDEF Broncos6.0
176.CowboysDEF Redskins6.0
177.Devin HesterWRBearsVikings6.0
178.FalconsDEF Bills5.9
179.Kevin WalterWRTexansDolphins5.8
180.Tashard ChoiceRBCowboysRedskins5.7
181.Todd HeapTERavensSteelers5.7
182.Phil DawsonKBrownsRaiders5.7
183.Graham GanoKRedskinsCowboys5.7
184.Larry JohnsonRBBengalsChiefs5.7
185.Tony GonzalezTEFalconsBills5.7
186.BroncosDEF Eagles5.7
187.Andre CaldwellWRBengalsChiefs5.6
188.Dwayne BoweWRChiefsBengals5.5
189.PatriotsDEF Jaguars5.5
190.Nate WashingtonWRTitansChargers5.5
191.Greg OlsenTEBearsVikings5.5
192.JetsDEF Colts5.4
193.Jeremy ShockeyTESaintsBuccaneers5.4
194.Benjamin WatsonTEPatriotsJaguars5.4
195.SteelersDEF Ravens5.4
196.Brandon StokleyWRBroncosEagles5.3
197.Kenneth DarbyRBRamsCardinals5.3
198.Brian WestbrookRBEaglesBroncos5.3
199.RamsDEF Cardinals5.2
200.TitansDEF Chargers5.2

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected full-season fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football default scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs, and TE, all TDs are six points , each 25 yards passing is one point , interceptions are minus-two points , fumbles lost are minus-two points , each 10 yards receiving is one point, and two-point conversions are two points .

For kickers, all extra points are one point and all field goals are at least three points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards .

Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not included in overall rankings) earn one point for each solo tackle , one point for each sack , two points for each interception and six points for each touchdown .

Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions, and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

Please note: These overall fantasy rankings are based on total points earned for the season. They do not account for position scarcity, number of owners drafting and their drafting styles, roster restrictions, custom league scoring rules, or other items that should be considered while drafting.

Want to know how the best players of today would do against the greats of all time? Find out using SimMatchup or build a team of the best ever and compete against others in the SimLeagues .

WhatIfSports.com is a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in fantasy football simulation analysis and football sim games . With any comments, questions, or topic suggestions, we can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com . Thanks!

Harper Homers Off Skenes 🔥

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