Week 15 NFL Free Picks

Week 15 NFL Free Picks

Wunderdog

Sunday, Dec. 20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Seattle Seahawks Week 15 NFL Picks	Total 39½ un-108 at  5DIMES	.
Josh Freeman surprised a few teams when he made his first two starts of the season. His team put up 61 points in those games. Then the film came out, and defenses began to make the adjustments resulting in a complete stall of the Tampa Bay offense. The Bucs have managed just 33 points in their last four games (8.25 per game). If we remove those two initial Freeman starts from the equation, this team has averaged just 11.7 points per game in the other 11 games! It hasn’t exactly been a banner year for the Seahawks' offense either, as they have had their own struggles. They have failed to top the 20-point mark in nine of their 13 games (69% of the time). The Bucs have improved on the defensive side of the ball. They have faced some menacing offenses this season—including Dallas, Philly, New England, Green Bay and New Orleans. Tampa allowed 33.6 points per game vs. these powerhouses. But, against more mediocre offenses including the Giants, Washington, Buffalo, Carolina, Miami, Atlanta and the Jets, Tampa Bay has given up a very respectable 23.5 points per game. Seattle’s resume is similar. Versus high-powered offenses Indianapolis, Arizona, Dallas, Minnesota and Houston, they allowed 33.2 points per game. Against all others, however, they have allowed just just 14.5 points per game! So we have offenses that average 14.6 and 19.2 points per game.  And, we have defenses that have given up 23.5 and 14.5 per game vs. comparable offenses. The Bucs have played UNDER to a 50-22 mark the last 72 times following a game where they failed to top the 150-yard mark in passing. The history of these clubs shows that the UNDER is the way to go, as their last six meetings resulted in UNDERs.

Week 15 NFL Free Picks

Black Widow

NFL |  Sunday, Dec. 20 Arizona Cardinals vs. Detroit Lions Week 15 NFL Picks	Arizona Cardinals -12-110 at  BOOKM
Widow’s NFL Free Pick Sunday: 1* on Arizona Cardinals -12 Arizona would find it hard to get motivated to play the Detroit Lions most weeks, but that won’t be the case this Sunday, as they look to make amends from their embarrassing 9-24 road loss to the 49ers on Monday Night Football last week. In that game, they were sloppy—turning the ball over seven times. Arizona will be sharp in practice this week, learn from their mistakes, and go into Detroit, and put it on a Lions’ team that is coming off a 3-48 loss at Baltimore last week. Detroit isn’t competitive with QB Matthew Stafford watching from the sidelines, and Stafford is doubtful to play which leaves Daunte Culpepper to run the show. Bad news for Detroit. Culpepper is completing just 53% of his passes, averaging a mere 5.74 yards/attempt, and has thrown just one touchdown to four interceptions this season. The Lions have lost by double-digits in three straight games are getting outscored by 15.1 points per game this season. The Lions are just 3-12 ATS in their last 18 home games overall. Arizona 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams—allowing >=350 yards/game over the last three seasons. After playing a hard-nosed 49ers’ defense that made nothing easy on the Cardinals, look for Arizona to be near-perfect offensively this week against a Lions’ defense that is allowing 31.2 points per game this year. The Lions are just stumbling to the finish line, and Detroit is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons. Take Arizona and lay the points. ***WORLD’S BEST 70-43 (62%) NFL Run & #1 RANKED NFL CAPPER IN 2009!***

Vernon Croy

-=TOP PLAY=-

NFL |  Sunday, Dec. 20 New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Week 15 NFL Picks	New England Patriots -7-105 at  5DIMES
Take the New England Patriots ATS. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems. The Patriots are the superior team here Sunday afternoon. The Patriots are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 road games as a favorite, and they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five trips to Buffalo. The Bills are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after a win, and they are also just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Bills are just 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 home games against a team that has a winning record on the road and they are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as the underdog at home. The Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six games between these two teams and the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings between the Patriots and Bills. The Patriots just beat the Carolina Panthers by 10 points, despite turning the ball over three more times than the Panthers. The Bills barely got by a very bad Chiefs team. Take the New England Patriots as my NFL Free Pick for Sunday. Vernon Croy’s massive 17-9 NFL Top Play run continues this week, so make sure you get on his Top NFL Picks that come complete with full in-depth betting reports!

Check out all of our Experts Week 15 NFL Free Picks for Sunday, Dec. 20.

 

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