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How Will Jim Caldwell Deal with Perfection?

Chad Klassen
Dec 16, 2009

As the Colts travel down to Jacksonville for a Thursday night showdown with the playoff-hungry Jaguars, the debate over who shouldĀ rest and whoĀ should play the remaining three games on the schedule will rage onĀ around the NFL.

The home win over the Broncos on Sunday, of course,Ā secured home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs for Indianapolis, who's been in this situation twice before (2005 and 2007) under Tony Dungy. But never has Jim Caldwell experienced the chase for perfection and been forced to make such a critical decision as the head man.

Caldwell, who has the NFL record for most consecutive wins by a rookie head coach to startĀ a season,Ā will face burning questions in theĀ following weeksĀ over how he's going to deal with his star quarterback,Ā Peyton Manning, and other key starters.

For a team that clinches that coveteĀ  home field advantage, it becomesĀ a delicate balance between resting players to prevent or heal injuries and playingĀ startersĀ to keep sharp.Ā The wave ofĀ momentum thatĀ 22 straightĀ victories hasĀ produced for theĀ ColtsĀ also weighs heavily in the decision.

In the two previous season, Indy'sĀ shown a strong tendency to sit players in favor of rest for the playoffs. In both 2005 and 2007, however, the choice by Dungy resulted in early exits with gut-wrenching losses at home to Pittsburgh and San Diego, respectively.

With CaldwellĀ nowĀ calling the shots as the new head man, the franchiseĀ ought to have learned from its past experiences.

Given that there'll be a month break between now and their first playoff bout, the Colts have to give starters quality game action down the stretch—at the very least a half for the likes ofĀ Manning—to prevent the rust that's burned the Colts on two occasions. Ā Ā 

Two yearsĀ ago, when the Patriots were chasing perfection, head coach Bill Belichick, you would have to say, took an unconventional approach to the stretch drive and it seemed to pay off, despite the fact New England lost in the most important game of the year.

When there was a serious chanceĀ his teamĀ would run the table andĀ post the unprecedentedĀ 16-0 mark, Belichick played all his starters.Ā He desperately wanted toĀ etch his place inĀ NFL history as the only coach to leadĀ his teamĀ to a perfectĀ record under the 16-gameĀ schedule.

EvenĀ pivotal Tom Brady got the start in the Patriots'Ā final two games, even after clinching home field in Week 15 with a record-tying win overĀ the Jets.

The decision didn't result in any significant injuries and only put New England's potent offense in the recordĀ books for most pointsĀ in a single season (589) and most TD passes.Ā In the season finale against the Giants, Brady threw hisĀ 50th touchdown of the 2007 season to Randy Moss, who fittingly caught his record-breaking 23rd TD reception on the same play.Ā 

To the contrary,Ā Indianapolis has historically taken the more conventional path of resting players, especially with a more conservative coach in Dungy at the helm.

In 2005, the Colts jumped out to an identical 13-0 record, clinching home field throughout the same week after a 26-14 victory in Jacksonville, coincidentally.

WhileĀ Dungy elected toĀ play most of his startersĀ against San Diego the following Sunday, theyĀ dropped their first game of the season at the old RCA Dome.

The weight of the perfect season subsided, and the Colts' head coach made the executive decision ofĀ benching most of his startersĀ in a Christmas Eve showdown withĀ Seattle in the Pacific Northwest. Indianapolis lost itsĀ second in a row against the Super Bowl-bound Seahawks and were reeling after winningĀ the first 13 contests.

A win over Arizona closed outĀ an impressiveĀ 14-2 regular season mark, but Manning was only under center for the first possession.

By the time the Colts faced a meaningful game—a divisional matchup with the sixth-ranked Pittsburgh Steelers—Manning hadn't played a full game for over three weeks, since the ChargersĀ defeat. It showed in the divisional playoff game at home, as Indy disappointed the home crowd with theĀ 21-18 upset loss.

Two years after the debacle—and only a season removed fromĀ the franchise's first Super Bowl title—the ColtsĀ conducted business in an eerily similar fashion after a quick 7-0 start.

They won six of their last seven games to finish 13-3 and secured a first-round bye, and while Dungy chose not to sit outĀ playersĀ until the season finale against Tennessee, the same result ensued. Indy wasĀ once again ousted in the divisional roundĀ by a red-hot Chargers teamĀ that won in the last-ever game played at the RCA Dome.Ā 

A trend that's seen theĀ Indianapolis clinch home field every two seasonsĀ has come to lightĀ in 2009. This season, it's now Caldwell, as a first-year NFL head coach, who has the dubiousĀ task of choosing whether to sit or play his starting quarterback as well as other key startersĀ on the Colts' roster.

He will likely go down the path of his predecessor, Dungy, but has said this week he'll field "healthy" starters on Thursday against the Jaguars. It's a philosophy that's foreign to the Colts organization, but one that'll be crucial toĀ a deep playoff run in January.Ā Recent history tell us thatĀ Manning should beĀ taking snapsĀ the rest ofĀ the season—because nothing compares to strapping up the pads andĀ playing at game speedĀ every Sunday.Ā Ā Ā Ā Ā