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2021 NFL Draft Order: Updated 1st-Round Listings After Week 16

Joe Tansey@JTansey90Featured ColumnistDecember 28, 2020

Jacksonville Jaguars running back Dare Ogunbowale (33) is tackled by Chicago Bears linebacker Roquan Smith (58) during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 27, 2020, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
Gary McCullough/Associated Press

An unexpected two-week shift allowed the Jacksonville Jaguars to secure the No. 1 overall pick on Sunday. 

Two weeks ago, the Jags were destined for the No. 2 selection in the 2021 NFL draft because of the 13-game winless run from the New York Jets.

With one week left in the regular season, the projected order has permanently switched, and Jacksonville is in line to land Clemson Tigers quarterback Trevor Lawrence. 

Even though the Jets won in Week 16, they locked into the No. 2 pick by way of the Cincinnati Bengals' victory over the Houston Texans. 

The back-to-back victories from the Bengals moved them out of the No. 3 spot they occupied for most of the season. The Houston Texans' pick that belongs to the Miami Dolphins is now projected to be third.

         

Updated 2021 NFL Draft 1st-Round Order

1. Jacksonville (1-14)

2. New York Jets (2-13)

3. Miami (from Houston- 4-11)

4. Atlanta (4-11)

5. Cincinnati (4-10-1)

6. Philadelphia (4-10-1)

7. Detroit (5-10)

8. New York Giants (5-10)

9. Carolina (5-10)

10. Denver (5-10)

11. Dallas (6-9)

12. Los Angeles Chargers (6-9)

13. Minnesota (6-9)

14. San Francisco (6-9)

15. New England (6-8)

16. Las Vegas (7-8)

17. Arizona (8-7)

18. Indianapolis (10-5)

19. Washington (6-9)

20. Chicago (8-7)

21. Jacksonville (from Los Angeles Rams- 9-6)

22. Cleveland (10-5)

23. Miami (10-5)

24. Baltimore (10-5)

25. Tennessee (10-5)

26. Tampa Bay (10-5)

27. New York Jets (from Seattle- 11-4)

28. Buffalo (11-3)

29. New Orleans (11-4)

30. Pittsburgh (12-3)

31. Green Bay (11-3)

32. Kansas City (13-1)

Updated order via Tankathon.com.

     

Even though Jacksonville is a single game beneath New York in the standings, it clinched the top pick based on the strength of schedule tiebreaker. 

That puts the Jags in line to select a generational talent in Lawrence, who has at least one college game left. He will play two contests if Clemson defeats the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Sugar Bowl on new year's day. 

The ability to draft Lawrence should make the general manager opening more enticing to potential candidates, and if Doug Marrone is let go, the same could be said about the head coach job. 

That could not be said about the AFC South side two weeks ago, but the Jets' back-to-back wins over the Los Angeles Rams and Cleveland Browns changed the complexion of the 2021 draft order. 

Barring a total shock or a trade that moves them up one position, the Jets will not secure Lawrence.

If the Jets want to replace Sam Darnold, they could go after BYU Cougars quarterback Zach Wilson, Justin Fields of Ohio State or Trey Lance from the North Dakota State Bison.

Wilson had a bigger set of games to impress professional scouts, and he finished strongly in his season finale against the UCF Knights in the Boca Raton Bowl, where he had 425 passing yards and three touchdowns. 

The Jets can take a closer look at Fields in the Sugar Bowl. Lance played a single game in the fall due to the FCS postponement to Spring.

If New York decides to keep Darnold, it could land Oregon Ducks offensive tackle Penei Sewell. He decided not to play in the shortened Pac-12 season. 

Cincinnati could have been viewed as the front-runner to land Sewell because it needs more protection for Joe Burrow, but now that seems unlikely since it sits a half-game ahead of the Houston Texans and Atlanta Falcons. 

The biggest winner outside of the Jags in Week 16 was the Dolphins, who could make the playoffs and pick in the top three thanks to the Laremy Tunsil trade. 

The back end of the top 10 is much more of a mess since four teams enter Week 17 at 5-10 and six franchises could be at 6-9 if the New England Patriots lose to the Buffalo Bills on Monday.

After Week 16, the Detroit Lions own the tiebreaker over the other 5-10 squads for the No. 7 pick. That would remain the case if all the 5-10 teams lose in Week 17. 

        

Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90.

Statistics obtained from ESPN.com.

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