
Breeders' Cup 2020: Odds and Predictions for All Entries in Classic Race
Tiz the Law bypassed the final leg of the Triple Crown to focus on winning at the 2020 Breeders' Cup.
On Saturday, the Belmont Stakes champion and his training staff have the opportunity to prove that strategy right.
Tiz the Law is viewed as one of the favorites to secure the prestigious title at Keeneland, Kentucky. Improbable is listed as a slightly larger favorite than Tiz the Law.
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One of Tiz the Law's advantages could be his starting position, as he begins the 1 1/4-mile Longines Classic race on the inside while all the other contenders will line up in the outside posts.
Breeders' Cup Odds
Odds via BreedersCup.com.
1, Tacitus (20-1)
2. Tiz the Law (3-1)
3. By My Standards (10-1)
4. Tom's d'Etat (6-1)
5. Title Ready (30-1)
6. Higher Power (20-1)
7. Global Campaign (20-1)
8. Improbable (5-2)
9. Authentic (6-1)
10. Maximum Security (7-2)
Predictions
Tiz The Law Takes Advantage Of Inside Post Position
Tiz the Law's jockey, Manuel Franco, may a similar approach to the Belmont Stakes effort.
In June, Tiz the Law controlled the race from an outside starting position. He may be in position to do the same from the inside on Saturday.
Tiz the Law is flanked by a pair of long shots on the inside and could use a clean start to run a smart race along the rails.
The potential fast start combined with the fight that may happen with the outside three horses could place Tiz the Law in a great position to control the race.
Improbable, Authentic and Maximum Security could all challenge Tiz the Law down the stretch, but one of the three thoroughbreds likely has to beat out the instant competition before reaching the Belmont champion.
Tiz the Law proved throughout his career that he can dominate the best of fields, and with a full head of steam coming from the inside, he could dictate the pace of the race.
Fight For Position On Outside Hurts Bob Baffert-Trained Horses
Improbable, Authentic and Maximum Security sit in a unique position to start Saturday's race.
The three horses trained by Bob Baffert will have to fight each other for positioning in the first few lengths that may hamper their efforts to win.
While the Tiz the Law faces fairly easy competition out of the gates, each of the three Baffert horses can make a claim to win the Longines Classic and they make wear each other out before the closing stretch.
If that is the case, it could end a recent trend of Classic winners coming from the outside post positions. Three of the four previous champions started in double-digit post positions.
The best candidates to follow in the footsteps of Vino Rosso, who won in 2019 from Post 10, could be Improbable or Maximum Security since four-or-five-year-old horses have won the last three Breeders' Cup Classics.
Even if Improbable and Maximum Security break out in front of Authentic, they may have trouble catching Tiz the Law if they are expending energy going neck-and-neck while catching up.
Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90
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