NFL Betting: Vikings vs. Lions Odds & Pick: November 15th 2009

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions
Free Pick: Minnesota Vikings -16.5 (-110 odds)
Sun November 15th 2009 1:00p
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Yes, we realize that this is a huge spread, especially for a division game, but the Minnesota Vikings are far superior to the Detroit Lions on both sides of the ball, and as long as the Vikings keep their interest, they should win easily by at least three touchdowns.

This is no contest from a physical standpoint. When the Vikings have the ball, the Minnesota offensive line will dominate the soft Lions front, opening up huge holes for Adrian Peterson and giving Brett Favre all day to throw. It is not a coincidence that Detroit is allowing a whopping 4.7 yards per rush, and their inability to slow down Peterson and Chester Taylor will only make Favre that much more dangerous via play action.

When the Lions have the ball, they will not be able to establish Kevin Smith vs. a Minnesota run defense that is allowing only 94.6 rushing yards per game. This will force rookie quarterback Matt Stafford and his 55.9 passer rating (five touchdowns vs. 12 interceptions) to try and win this game with his arm, oftentimes on third and long situations. Do not expect Detroit to improve on their already dreadful 16.6-point scoring average today.

So the ultimate question here becomes how can the Vikings hold their interest in what looks like a good spot for a breather? Well, keep in mind that Minnesota is coming off of a bye with a relatively meaningless non-division game vs. a mediocre Seattle Seahawks team up next. Thus, having two weeks to prepare for this and not really having any reason to look past this game without a big game up next, look for the Vikes to play at their best today.

That should translate into a good old fashioned massacre.

NFL Free Pick: Vikings -16.5 (-110)