Winnipeg Jets vs. Vegas Golden Knights: Game 4 Odds, Analysis, NHL Betting Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistMay 18, 2018

Vegas Golden Knights defenseman Brayden McNabb, left, celebrates with goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury after the team's 4-2 win against the Winnipeg Jets during Game 3 of the NHL hockey playoffs Western Conference finals Wednesday, May 16, 2018, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
John Locher/Associated Press

The Vegas Golden Knights will look to take a commanding 3-1 lead and move to one win away from making it to the Stanley Cup Final on Friday, when they host the Winnipeg Jets in Game 4 of the Western Conference Final as small home favorites at the sportsbooks.

The Golden Knights are coming off a 4-2 victory in Game 3 on Wednesday behind 33 saves from goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury.

                  

NHL betting line: The Golden Knights opened as -121 favorites (wager $121 to win $100); the total is at 5.5 goals, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. Line updates and matchup report.

NHL betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 3.3-2.3, Golden Knights. NHL picks on every game.

Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week's top sports betting news.

                                

Why the Jets Can Pay on the NHL Lines

The Jets surrendered a goal to Jonathan Marchessault in the first minute of Game 3 but otherwise outplayed their opponent before giving up an empty-netter to him with three seconds remaining. Marchessault now has four goals in the past two games, and holding him in check would definitely help turn the tables and even the series.

Winnipeg outshot Vegas 32-20 in the last two periods Wednesday, with Mark Scheifele scoring two goals himself and getting a couple more quality chances late that could have tied the game had one of them gotten past Fleury. Scheifele leads all players in the postseason with 14 goals, with an NHL playoff-record 11 coming on the road.

                         

Why the Golden Knights Can Pay on the NHL Lines

As long as Fleury can continue his stellar play, the Golden Knights will remain a serious threat to hoist the Stanley Cup in their inaugural season. The netminder was simply outstanding again in Game 3 and has bounced back nicely from a shaky first period in Game 1 to begin the Western Conference Final.

In addition, veteran winger James Neal did a great job in the second period with a goal and an assist after he was shaken up in the first, allowing Vegas to regain momentum and take a 3-1 lead following the game-tying score. The Golden Knights know what is at stake here and will make a strong effort to win again at T-Mobile Arena to keep home-ice advantage in this series.

                    

Smart Betting Pick

The Jets have suffered consecutive losses for the first time during this playoff run, and the odds of them dropping three in a row is slim. In fact, that scenario happened only twice during the regular season, occurring both times on road trips in December and March.

Game 3 was a lot closer than the final score suggests, with Winnipeg outplaying Vegas for most of the contest. Bet on the Jets to put more pressure on Fleury and return home for Game 5 on Sunday with the series tied.

                  

NHL Betting Trends

Winnipeg is 18-7 in its past 25 games.

Vegas is 4-2 in its past six games against Winnipeg.

The total has gone over in four of Winnipeg's past five games on the road.

                    

All NHL odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report's official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week's top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.

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