Sunday's NFL Free Pick: New York Jets vs. Oakland Raiders

Free NFL Picks for Sunday, Oct. 25, 2009

New York Jets vs. Oakland Raiders

Take the Oakland Raiders +7-115 at BODOG

Take the Oakland Raiders ATS.

This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Raiders are coming off a huge win against one of the best teams in the NFL, so they will be very confident coming into this game. The Jets were just beat at home as nine-point favorites by a bad Bills team and Oakland is one of the most hostile places in the NFL to play, so I look for Mark Sanchez to struggle.

The Raiders defense has looked great at times this season and they just held a potent Eagles offense to nine points, so this will be anything but a walk in the park for the Jets offense that is led by a young Sanchez.

The Jets offense is only averaging 156 passing yards per game, while completing just 51.8 percent of their passes. They are only averaging 16.7 points per game over their last three games played.

The Jets are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after a loss. The Jets are also just 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a road favorite and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a losing record.

The home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games between these two teams and the Raiders win last week was definitely not a fluke as they ended up winning straight-up despite turning the ball over two more times than the Eagles.

The Raiders were the better team last week and they show up again this week so grab the points with the Oakland Raiders as my NFL Free Pick for Sunday. This NFL play is released early because I anticipate this line will move to +5 to +5.5 later in the week.

Check out Vernon Croy's Expert NFL Picks for Week Seven of the NFL season.