What Are the Comfort Levels for Fantasy Studs Heading into Week 12?

Richard Janvrin@@RichardJanvrinFeatured ColumnistNovember 21, 2017

What Are the Comfort Levels for Fantasy Studs Heading into Week 12?

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    Tom Pennington/Getty Images

    Week 12 of the fantasy football season isn't like any other time of the year, as it falls on the Thanksgiving holiday period.

    However, the holidays are no excuse not to set your lineups, so take your mind off the turkey for a moment and check your teams.

    Here, we examine the value of seven players for the upcoming week. We have two quarterbacks, three wide receivers and two running backs to look at, so let's get to it.

Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers

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    After a huge game in Week 11, it's hard to be down on Green Bay Packers wide receiver Davante Adams, but he will have another tough secondary to go toe-to-toe with in Week 12 when his team takes on the Pittsburgh Steelers.

    Adams managed eight catches for 126 yards last week against a Baltimore Ravens secondary regarded as one of the best in the league.

    On the road in Week 12, though, the Packers are looking at another potential shutout after going down 23-0 to the Ravens.

    If Green Bay gets down big, there is a chance Adams could get a ton of garbage-time points, but don't be so sure.

    Chasing such points is usually an OK strategy, but this feels like a game where the Packers will be shut down and the Steelers will drain the clock with Le'Veon Bell.

    If you're in a PPR league, Adams will be fine, but standard scoring won't give him anything to brag about.

    Comfort Level: Not good.

Le'Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

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    The impression I have of Le'Veon Bell was essentially covered in the previous slide, but the Pittsburgh Steelers' Week 12 game has the running back's name written all over it.

    The Green Bay Packers are going to struggle to score, and the Steelers should win big. As a result, Bell will be asked to do a lot of work to drain the clock.

    The Steelers have just as good a secondary and defense as the Ravens squad that shut out the Packers, as well as a far more prolific offense.

    Expect Bell to see perhaps 30 touches in this game.

    Comfort Level: Relaxing on a beach on a Caribbean island.

Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

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    Good God: That's how I feel about New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady going up against the Miami Dolphins.

    Since New England's bye week, Brady has six touchdown passes and has averaged over 300 yards a game, while the team has outscored its opponents 74-24.

    I mean, what do you want me to say? This is going to be a bloodbath. The Patriots are 17-point favorites for crying out loud, per OddsShark.com.

    Brady, 300 yards, three touchdowns: book it.

    Comfort Level: Very comfortable.

A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

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    With his going up against the Cleveland Browns, you probably already know where I'm heading with my analysis of Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver A.J. Green.

    The Browns have a strange secondary, judging by DVOA ratings: They are ranked dead last against opposing No. 1 wide receivers but are the second best against No. 2 wide receivers.

    Unfortunately, Green is beyond being just a regular No. 1 wide receiver, so he can expect a great game here.

    The only thing that could go south for him is that the Bengals find ways to score before feeding him, going up by a sizable margin and allowing running back Joe Mixon to run wild.

    However, I'll take my chances with Green being a focal point of the Bengals' offensive attack against the Browns.

    Comfort Level: Well, it's the Browns, so...

Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

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    When you first glance at Kansas City Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt, you immediately associate him with instant fantasy production.

    Now, this isn't a knock to Hunt's talent, but he's had seven straight games without a touchdown.

    Every week the 22-year-old seems like one of those guys you bank on for a touchdown, but if he's not on your team, maybe you don't notice his lack of scoring.

    Going up against a Buffalo Bills team that clearly has something going on behind the scenes, Hunt has a chance to bounce back here; the Bills have given up 135 points the last three weeks combined. That's an average of 45 per game.

    With that said, it's been seven weeks. Hunt is a guy you want to start every week, but he's not an RB1 at the moment.

    So, start Hunt, but don't hold your breath; you probably haven't expected much recently anyways.

    Comfort Level: Confused Nick Young meme.

Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons

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    Daniel Shirey/Getty Images

    Like A.J. Green, this is an excellent matchup for Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones.

    There are a few teams this season that can have us licking our chops if we own a wide receiver going up against them. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are one of them.

    In Week 11, the Buccaneers won and put up 30 points, but they still allowed Miami Dolphins wide receiver Kenny Stills to put up nearly 200 yards and a touchdown.

    Now they are set to face Jones.

    The Falcons man has a lack of touchdowns for the talent he has, but we can expect him to add to that total in Week 12.

    Rest in peace, Bucs secondary.

    Comfort Level: I said "Rest in peace" in the final sentence. Need I say more?

Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys

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    After a horrendous fantasy performance in Week 11, I'm not going to pile on Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott.

    With that said, he's headed for another tough game against the Los Angeles Chargers. Maybe he won't have three interceptions and a fumble again, but it will be a tough one all the same.

    To be fair, Prescott is missing two key pieces: running back Ezekiel Elliott and left tackle Tyron Smith.

    Smith missed Week 11 through injury, and the Thanksgiving Day matchup against the Chargers is a short turnaround.

    The Chargers' pairing of Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram is perhaps the best defensive line duo in the game today.

    The L.A. secondary is also one of the best in the league, ranking sixth in DVOA against the pass through Week 10—and that's before counting the five interceptions of Buffalo Bills quarterback Nathan Peterman.

    I'm calling for the Chargers to win in an upset and for Prescott to have an OK game, but it will be nothing noteworthy and could include a couple of turnovers.

    Bosa and Ingram are ready for this game, too. Prescott is in for a hurting.

    Comfort Level: Imagine getting tackled by Bosa. Something like that.


    Statistics courtesy of Football Outsiders and Pro Football Reference.