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Fantasy Football Out on a Limb: Oct. 15

Ryan Lester
Oct 15, 2009

Time for another edition of Fantasy Football Out on a Limb.

I scour the rosters to select a player who I feel will outperform a higher profile player in that given week. I base my decisions on matchups, how the players are trending, and the ever-important hunch.

To mix things up, Iโ€™ll occasionally do some two-on-one matchups or even pit RB or WR duos against each other. Sometimes Iโ€™ll spot a player some points.

Scoring

6 points for rushing or receiving TD
4 points for a passing TD
0.1 points per yard for rushing or receiving
0.05 points per passing yard.

Last Week

Trent Edwards over Brett Favre:ย  Loser Edwards 11.6, Favre 15.6
Rashard Mendenhall over Ronnie Brown:ย  Loser Mendenhall 15.3, Brown 21.85
Brandon Jacobs over Chris Johnson:ย  Winner, Jacobs 7.5, Johnson 4.3
DeSean Jackson over Calvin Johnson:ย  Loser, Jackson 0.1, Johnson 0.2 (Yuck)
Steve Smith over Randy Moss:ย  Winner, Smith, 8.5, Moss 3.6
Graham Pick:ย  Steve Smith Carolina over Steve Smith NYG, Winner 8.5, 7.0
Beanie Wells over Cedric Benson:ย  Big Loser, Beanie 2.4, Benson 19.6

Regular Picks:ย  2-3
Super Stretch Picks: 0-1
Overall:ย  2-4

Season Record

Regular Picks: 11-13
Super Stretch Picks:ย  1-4
Overall: 12-17

Week Six Picks

Quarterback

ย Denver Broncos 2009 Football Headshots
Brett Favre over Kyle Orton +1.5

In a matchup of undefeated QBs, Iโ€™ll go with the 40-year old Viking. He faces Baltimore, which has been vulnerable to the pass this year at home, while Orton faces the sixth-ranked Chargers pass D on the road.

Running Backs
DeAngelo Williams profileย 


DeAngelo Williams over Adrian Peterson

D-Will ripped Tampa Bay for 186 yards and two TDs the last time they squared off. The Bucs are 28th in the league in run D. Meanwhile, Peterson faces Baltimoreโ€™s top-five run D. Peterson tends to struggle a bit against aggressive teams.

Philadelphia Eagles 2009 Football Headshotsย Julius Jones profile
LeSean McCoy over Julius Jones

Even though McCoy is a backup and Jones is a starter, I like McCoy this week. The Eagles should pound the 31st-ranked Raiders run D, and McCoy should clean up when Westy gets an early reprieve. Meanwhile, Jones faces the Cardinalsโ€™ top-five run D and will likely have to turn to the air to stay in the game.

Wide Receivers


Wes Welker over Randy Moss

Tom Brady doesnโ€™t have his trademark confidence right now, and he seems a little timid stepping into his deep throws to Moss. He seems to prefer the short, underneath routes that are Welkerโ€™s bread and butter. I look for Welker to outperform Moss this week against the Titans.


Santonio Holmes over Anquan Boldin

Iโ€™ll match these Super Bowl WRs up against each other. Holmes has disappeared since his Week One explosion but should be able to dominate Cleveland. Boldin has a solid matchup against Seattle, but I have a feeling itโ€™s going to be the Larry Fitzgerald Show again.

SUPER STRETCH


Jake Delhomme over Matt Cassel

Delhomme is off to a horrible start, but facing Tampa Bayโ€™s 21st-ranked pass defense should help matters. Cassel is facing Washingtonโ€™s third-ranked pass D. Delhomme should win this battle.

Your turn. What "Out on a Limb" picks do you have for Week Six?


Originally published at LestersLegends.com.