Dallas Cowboys vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

Even the return of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger could not help the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-4) end their skid last week in a loss to the Baltimore Ravens. Now the Steelers will try to stop the longest winning streak in the NFL when they host the Dallas Cowboys (7-1) this Sunday as small favorites.

Point spread: The Steelers opened as three-point favorites; the total was 49.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 30.9-18.8 Cowboys (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Cowboys can cover the spread

No team has been able to solve the Cowboys since the New York Giants edged them as one-point road favorites back in Week 1, 20-19. Dallas is riding a seven-game winning streak and continues to play mistake-free football for the most part thanks to rookie quarterback Dak Prescott, who threw for 247 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions again last week in a 35-10 rout of the Cleveland Browns on the road.

The Cowboys closed as seven-point chalk in that game and improved to 7-0-1 against the spread with the easy win.

Why the Steelers can cover the spread

Pittsburgh was in a tough spot last Sunday at Baltimore, with both teams looking to halt losing streaks off bye weeks. It was also a divisional game in a series in which the home team has frequently succeeded in recent years.

With Dallas up next, the Steelers will be able to lean on their home-field advantage this week at Heinz Field, along with the fact that they have gone 7-2 straight up the last nine times they lost as favorites in their previous game. With such a small point spread, Pittsburgh should have no problem covering with a win.

Smart pick

Roethlisberger may have been ineffective against the Ravens but showed a lot of heart and grit in playing, even when his team was down 21-0 in the fourth quarter. He led two touchdown drives in the last 13:36 of the game and should have more confidence in this meeting with the Cowboys, who may activate Tony Romo as a backup to Prescott, providing the team with a distraction.

Look for the Steelers to bust their three-game slump at home with a solid victory and cover on the NFL point spreads versus Dallas.

Betting trends

The total has gone over in three of the Cowboys' last four games against the Steelers.

The total has gone under in seven of the Cowboys' last eight games as underdogs.

The Cowboys are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games in Week 10.

All NFL betting lines and point-spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line-movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.