New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

The New York Jets will be looking to extend their straight-up win streak to three games Sunday when they clash with the Miami Dolphins in a battle of AFC East rivals at Hard Rock Stadium.

The Jets erased a 13-point halftime deficit en route to a 31-28 win in Cleveland as 2.5-point favorites last weekend. New York has now won two straight, ending a four-game SU and against-the-spread swoon.

The Dolphins return to action following a Week 8 bye riding a two-game SU win streak, both as home underdogs. Miami is also undefeated in a pair of matchups with division opponents on home turf this season.

Point spread: The Dolphins opened as three-point favorites; the total was 45 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 29.0-15.7 Dolphins (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Jets can cover the spread

A resurgent Ryan Fitzpatrick has led the Jets to a pair of victories after briefly losing his job as the team's starting quarterback. Fitzpatrick took over for an injured Geno Smith in a 24-16 win over Baltimore two weeks ago and orchestrated New York's second-half comeback in last weekend's win over the Browns.

New York has enjoyed considerable success against teams with losing records. The Jets are 9-3 SU in their past 12 such outings, which includes each of their past six road victories.

The Dolphins have struggled in home dates immediately following a bye week, losing five of six SU and covering just once in eight contests since 1993.

Why the Dolphins can cover the spread

The Dolphins have exceeded expectations in recent home contests against division rivals. Miami claimed outright victories as home underdogs in its past two, knocking off New England and Buffalo to end a three-game SU and ATS slide.

Overall, Miami has been a strong bet as a home underdog, as the Dolphins have won three straight and are 8-3-1 ATS over their past 12 such games.

Miami's defense has stood tall during the team's current two-game tear, holding opponents to an average of just 282 total yards per game. The Dolphins defense has been particularly effective at containing opposing passers, who have failed to throw for more than 200 yards in each of their past three.

Smart pick

New York has won three straight against the Dolphins and covered in its past five, including a 37-24 win as seven-point road underdogs two years ago.

The Dolphins are 4-1 SU in their past five at home, averaging 25 points per game during that stretch. Look for Miami to post the SU victory but struggle to cover as home chalk Sunday.

Betting trends

The Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against the Dolphins.

The Dolphins are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games.

The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games in November.

All NFL betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.