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Week Five Fantasy Football Projections

Jake WestrichOct 6, 2009

This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 10,001 times. This allows us to account for every player and statistical interaction in an NFL game.

Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of Tuesday each week. Information on scoring appears at the bottom of this article.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

QuarterbackRunning BackWide ReceiverTight End
KickerTeam DefenseIndividual Defense

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1.Peyton ManningQBColtsTitans23.4
2.Matt SchaubQBTexansCardinals20.6
3.Adrian PetersonRBVikingsRams19.1
4.Kurt WarnerQBCardinalsTexans18.9
5.Rashard MendenhallRBSteelersLions18.3
6.Joe FlaccoQBRavensBengals18.1
7.Eli ManningQBGiantsRaiders16.9
8.Ben RoethlisbergerQBSteelersLions16.1
9.Trent EdwardsQBBillsBrowns15.8
10.Ronnie BrownRBDolphinsJets15.5
11.Shaun HillQB49ersFalcons15.3
12.Brett FavreQBVikingsRams15.1
13.Donovan McNabbQBEaglesBuccaneers15.0
14.Tom BradyQBPatriotsBroncos14.8
15.Chris JohnsonRBTitansColts14.8
16.David GarrardQBJaguarsSeahawks14.8
17.Seneca WallaceQBSeahawksJaguars14.4
18.Glen CoffeeRB49ersFalcons14.4
19.Tashard ChoiceRBCowboysChiefs14.3
20.Tim HightowerRBCardinalsTexans14.2
21.Steven JacksonRBRamsVikings14.2
22.Fred JacksonRBBillsBrowns14.2
23.Matt RyanQBFalcons49ers14.2
24.Maurice Jones-DrewRBJaguarsSeahawks14.1
25.Jason CampbellQBRedskinsPanthers14.1
26.Tony RomoQBCowboysChiefs14.1
27.Clinton PortisRBRedskinsPanthers14.0
28.Joseph AddaiRBColtsTitans13.8
29.Ray RiceRBRavensBengals13.4
30.Steve SlatonRBTexansCardinals13.3
31.Brandon JacobsRBGiantsRaiders13.1
32.Marion BarberRBCowboysChiefs13.1
33.Jerome HarrisonRBBrownsBills13.1
34.Steve SmithWRGiantsRaiders13.0
35.Cedric BensonRBBengalsRavens12.9
36.Mark SanchezQBJetsDolphins12.8
37.Reggie WayneWRColtsTitans12.6
38.Carnell WilliamsRBBuccaneersEagles12.3
39.Carson PalmerQBBengalsRavens12.3
40.Larry FitzgeraldWRCardinalsTexans12.2
41.Derek AndersonQBBrownsBills12.1
42.Michael TurnerRBFalcons49ers12.1
43.Brian WestbrookRBEaglesBuccaneers11.9
44.Jerricho CotcheryWRJetsDolphins11.8
45.DeAngelo WilliamsRBPanthersRedskins11.7
46.Kyle OrtonQBBroncosPatriots11.7
47.LeSean McCoyRBEaglesBuccaneers11.5
48.Daunte CulpepperQBLionsSteelers11.5
49.Matt CasselQBChiefsCowboys11.5
50.Andre JohnsonWRTexansCardinals11.5
51.Knowshon MorenoRBBroncosPatriots11.5
52.Ahmad BradshawRBGiantsRaiders11.1
53.Dallas ClarkTEColtsTitans10.8
54.Josh JohnsonQBBuccaneersEagles10.6
55.Randy MossWRPatriotsBroncos10.4
56.Marshawn LynchRBBillsBrowns10.2
57.Mohamed MassaquoiWRBrownsBills10.0
58.Jeff ReedKSteelersLions9.9
59.T.J. HoushmandzadehWRSeahawksJaguars9.8
60.Julius JonesRBSeahawksJaguars9.7
61.Chad OchocincoWRBengalsRavens9.7
62.Derrick MasonWRRavensBengals9.6
63.Mewelde MooreRBSteelersLions9.6
64.Kevin SmithRBLionsSteelers9.5
65.Kerry CollinsQBTitansColts9.4
66.Adam VinatieriKColtsTitans9.4
67.Jake DelhommeQBPanthersRedskins9.4
68.Larry JohnsonRBChiefsCowboys9.3
69.Nick FolkKCowboysChiefs9.3
70.Thomas JonesRBJetsDolphins9.3
71.GiantsDEF
Raiders9.2
72.Brandon MarshallWRBroncosPatriots9.2
73.Hines WardWRSteelersLions9.2
74.Calvin JohnsonWRLionsSteelers9.1
75.EaglesDEF
Buccaneers9.0
76.Brent CelekTEEaglesBuccaneers8.8
77.Neil RackersKCardinalsTexans8.8
78.Jonathan StewartRBPanthersRedskins8.8
79.Mike Sims-WalkerWRJaguarsSeahawks8.7
80.Chris CooleyTERedskinsPanthers8.7
81.Ryan LongwellKVikingsRams8.6
82.DeSean JacksonWREaglesBuccaneers8.5
83.Mark ClaytonWRRavensBengals8.5
84.Michael BushRBRaidersGiants8.5
85.Kris BrownKTexansCardinals8.4
86.Steve SmithWRPanthersRedskins8.4
87.Chad HenneQBDolphinsJets8.1
88.Santana MossWRRedskinsPanthers8.1
89.Jay FeelyKJetsDolphins8.0
90.Lawrence TynesKGiantsRaiders8.0
91.Leon WashingtonRBJetsDolphins8.0
92.Stephen GostkowskiKPatriotsBroncos7.9
93.Vernon DavisTE49ersFalcons7.9
94.Beanie WellsRBCardinalsTexans7.9
95.Kyle BollerQBRamsVikings7.9
96.Percy HarvinWRVikingsRams7.9
97.Roddy WhiteWRFalcons49ers7.8
98.Josh ScobeeKJaguarsSeahawks7.8
99.David AkersKEaglesBuccaneers7.8
100.Rian LindellKBillsBrowns7.7
101.Jamal LewisRBBrownsBills7.6
102.John KasayKPanthersRedskins7.6
103.Jason WittenTECowboysChiefs7.6
104.Olindo MareKSeahawksJaguars7.6
105.Terrell OwensWRBillsBrowns7.6
106.Wes WelkerWRPatriotsBroncos7.6
107.Steve BreastonWRCardinalsTexans7.5
108.Rashad JenningsRBJaguarsSeahawks7.5
109.Rob BironasKTitansColts7.5
110.Justin FargasRBRaidersGiants7.4
111.Pierre GarconWRColtsTitans7.3
112.Chester TaylorRBVikingsRams7.3
113.Anquan BoldinWRCardinalsTexans7.3
114.Kenny BrittWRTitansColts7.2
115.Sammy MorrisRBPatriotsBroncos7.1
116.Josh MorganWR49ersFalcons7.0
117.Jason HansonKLionsSteelers7.0
118.Lee EvansWRBillsBrowns7.0
119.Owen DanielsTETexansCardinals7.0
120.Fred TaylorRBPatriotsBroncos6.9
121.Shayne GrahamKBengalsRavens6.9
122.Billy CundiffKBrownsBills6.9
123.Shaun SuishamKRedskinsPanthers6.8
124.VikingsDEF
Rams6.8
125.Greg JonesRBJaguarsSeahawks6.8
126.Dan CarpenterKDolphinsJets6.8
127.Donald BrownRBColtsTitans6.7
128.Willis McGaheeRBRavensBengals6.7
129.Joe NedneyK49ersFalcons6.6
130.JaMarcus RussellQBRaidersGiants6.5
131.Matt PraterKBroncosPatriots6.5
132.Steven HauschkaKRavensBengals6.5
133.Ricky WilliamsRBDolphinsJets6.5
134.Tony GonzalezTEFalcons49ers6.5
135.Isaac BruceWR49ersFalcons6.4
136.Kevin WalterWRTexansCardinals6.4
137.Michael JenkinsWRFalcons49ers6.4
138.Bernard BerrianWRVikingsRams6.4
139.BillsDEF
Browns6.3
140.CowboysDEF
Chiefs6.3
141.RedskinsDEF
Panthers6.2
142.Nate BurlesonWRSeahawksJaguars6.1
143.Santonio HolmesWRSteelersLions6.0
144.Ryan SuccopKChiefsCowboys5.9
145.Mario ManninghamWRGiantsRaiders5.9
146.ColtsDEF
Titans5.9
147.RavensDEF
Bengals5.9
148.Jason ElamKFalcons49ers5.9
149.BroncosDEF
Patriots5.9
150.PanthersDEF
Redskins5.8
151.Josh BrownKRamsVikings5.8
152.SteelersDEF
Lions5.8
153.Sebastian JanikowskiKRaidersGiants5.8
154.BrownsDEF
Bills5.7
155.JetsDEF
Dolphins5.6
156.Sidney RiceWRVikingsRams5.5
157.John CarlsonTESeahawksJaguars5.5
158.Heath MillerTESteelersLions5.5
159.Kevin BossTEGiantsRaiders5.5
160.Mark BradleyWRChiefsCowboys5.5
161.Bobby EngramWRChiefsCowboys5.4
162.Torry HoltWRJaguarsSeahawks5.3
163.Nate WashingtonWRTitansColts5.3
164.PatriotsDEF
Broncos5.3
165.Austin CollieWRColtsTitans5.2
166.Moran NorrisRB49ersFalcons5.2
167.Muhsin MuhammadWRPanthersRedskins5.2
168.BengalsDEF
Ravens5.1
169.Davone BessWRDolphinsJets5.0
170.CardinalsDEF
Texans5.0
171.Dwayne BoweWRChiefsCowboys4.9
172.Kevin FaulkRBPatriotsBroncos4.9
173.49ersDEF
Falcons4.9
174.Louis MurphyWRRaidersGiants4.9
175.BuccaneersDEF
Eagles4.9
176.Bernard ScottRBBengalsRavens4.8
177.Shonn GreeneRBJetsDolphins4.8
178.Todd HeapTERavensBengals4.8
179.Shane AndrusKBuccaneersEagles4.8
180.Sam HurdWRCowboysChiefs4.7
181.Jerious NorwoodRBFalcons49ers4.7
182.Chris JenningsRBBrownsBills4.7
183.Le'Ron McClainRBRavensBengals4.6
184.Greg CamarilloWRDolphinsJets4.5
185.Patrick CraytonWRCowboysChiefs4.5
186.Marcedes LewisTEJaguarsSeahawks4.5
187.Zach MillerTERaidersGiants4.4
188.Dustin KellerTEJetsDolphins4.4
189.DolphinsDEF
Jets4.3
190.Michael ClaytonWRBuccaneersEagles4.3
191.Earnest GrahamRBBuccaneersEagles4.3
192.Miles AustinWRCowboysChiefs4.3
193.JaguarsDEF
Seahawks4.3
194.Mike WallaceWRSteelersLions4.2
195.Jabar GaffneyWRBroncosPatriots4.2
196.Keenan BurtonWRRamsVikings4.2
197.Antonio BryantWRBuccaneersEagles4.2
198.RaidersDEF
Giants4.1
199.Jerheme UrbanWRCardinalsTexans4.1
200.Hakeem NicksWRGiantsRaiders4.1

*The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected full-season fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football default scoring where, for QBs, RBs, WRs, and TE, all TDs are six points, each 25 yards passing are one point, interceptions are negative two points, fumbles lost are negative two points, each ten yards receiving are one point and two-point conversions are two points.

For kickers, all extra points are one point and all field goals are at least three points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards.

Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not included in overall rankings) earn one point for each solo tackle, one point for each sack, two points for each interception, and six points for each touchdown.

Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions, and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

Please note: These overall fantasy rankings are based on total points earned for the season. They do not account for position scarcity, number of owners drafting and their drafting styles, roster restrictions, custom league scoring rules, or other items that should be considered while drafting.

Want to know how the best players of today would do against the greats of all-time? Find out using SimMatchup or build a team of the best ever and compete against others in the SimLeagues.

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in fantasy football simulation analysis and football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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