Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers Betting Odds, College Football Pick

Arkansas owns a slight edge in the recent rivalry with Auburn, winning five of the last eight meetings straight up and going 5-3 against the spread. In their 25th meeting since the former joined the SEC back in 1992, the Razorbacks tangle with the Tigers on Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium.

Point spread: The Tigers opened as nine-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 24.3-22.8 Razorbacks (College football picks on every game)

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks can cover the spread 

Arkansas just picked up its first SEC victory of the season, a 34-30 decision over Ole Miss last week. The Hogs, who were 10-point home dogs, scored on their second possession of the game to take an early 7-0 lead. They then pushed that to 17-6 early in the second quarter, fell down 30-27 with nine minutes left on the clock but regained the lead for good on a Jared Cornelius six-yard touchdown run with just over two minutes to go. They sealed the upset with a defensive stop.

The Razorbacks outgained the Rebs 429-403 and dominated time of possession by a 41-19 margin. Sophomore running back Rawleigh Williams III ran 27 times for 180 yards, his fourth 100-yard effort of the season, while quarterback Austin Allen tossed three touchdown passes. Meanwhile, the Arkansas defense held the potent Ole Miss offense to just 6-of-16 on third-down and fourth-down conversions combined.

Two weeks ago, the Hogs lost to Alabama 49-30, but that game could have been closer, and Arkansas could have covered as a 14-point underdog had Alabama not scored twice on defensive touchdowns.

Why the Auburn Tigers can cover the spread

The Tigers own a three-game winning streak, both SU and ATS, following their 38-14 win at Mississippi State two weeks ago. They had last week off.

Auburn took a 7-0 lead on the Bulldogs five minutes into that game, and with help from a fumble return for a score later on, it led 35-0 at the half. The Tigers let MSU score twice to get within 21 points (35-14), but they iced the victory and the cover as four-point road favorites with a long drive resulting in a field goal for the final margin.

Auburn outgained the Bulldogs 432-289, and it outrushed them 228-103. So the Tigers have now outgained and outrushed four of their last five opponents—and by some large margins.

Smart pick

The Hogs are coming off a tough win over Ole Miss, while Auburn had last week off. Also, in its four games against Power Five opponents this year, Arkansas has been outgained by more than 70 yards per game. Meanwhile, the Tigers started slowly this year, but they seem to be coming around. Auburn looks like the smart money here on the college football point spreads, minus the points.

Betting trends

The visiting team is 2-5 SU and ATS in its last seven games in this matchup.

The total has gone under in 10 of Auburn's last 13 games at home.

Arkansas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against its conference.

All college football betting lines and point-spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line-movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds-tracker app.