Week Six College Football Computer Simulation Rankings

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation technology to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible D-I FBS matchup one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team.

All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Florida Gators	-	99.4	52.7	6.5
2.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-	98.4	51.3	6.2
3.	TCU Horned Frogs	+1	94.5	44.2	9.2
4.	USC Trojans	+5	94.0	43.5	8.5
5.	Texas Longhorns	-2	94.0	42.7	8.5
6.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-	91.4	44.0	10.6
7.	Boise State Broncos	-2	91.4	43.5	11.9
8.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-1	90.4	43.2	11.9
9.	South Florida Bulls	+2	90.4	41.3	12.3
10.	Oregon Ducks	+2	89.1	37.2	9.3
11.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-1	89.1	35.3	9.4
12.	Virginia Tech Hokies	+2	88.6	42.0	13.1
13.	Missouri Tigers	-	85.1	37.4	14.2
14.	Auburn Tigers	+2	83.7	40.0	15.7
15.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+2	83.3	33.0	11.1
16.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+3	82.5	38.2	16.9
17.	LSU Tigers	+10	82.0	30.5	11.1
18.	Wisconsin Badgers	+13	80.5	39.4	18.0
19.	Brigham Young Cougars	-1	80.4	34.7	17.0
20.	Oklahoma Sooners	-12	80.1	32.1	14.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Kansas Jayhawks	+1	78.6	35.0	15.7
22.	Stanford Cardinal	+13	78.4	35.8	16.8
23.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+18	78.4	31.6	15.3
24.	Georgia Bulldogs	-4	75.7	30.6	16.9
25.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+3	75.2	28.9	14.4
26.	Utah Utes	-	74.4	31.2	16.6
27.	Arizona Wildcats	-4	73.9	29.4	14.4
28.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+11	72.2	31.3	18.4
29.	California Golden Bears	-4	71.7	29.9	16.9
30.	West Virginia Mountaineers	+2	71.2	31.4	17.4
31.	Baylor Bears	-1	69.9	29.7	17.5
32.	Mississippi Rebels	+2	69.4	27.1	15.4
33.	South Carolina Gamecocks	-	69.3	24.5	14.8
34.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	+12	67.0	29.7	19.4
35.	Michigan State Spartans	+14	66.9	27.3	18.8
36.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+6	66.9	33.6	22.9
37.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	-8	66.5	23.2	15.0
38.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+24	65.5	31.0	22.0
39.	Fresno State Bulldogs	+12	64.3	34.6	24.9
40.	Air Force Falcons	-19	63.0	23.8	17.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Connecticut Huskies	+7	63.0	20.2	14.5
42.	Houston Cougars	-27	62.3	29.2	23.2
43.	Boston College Eagles	+16	62.2	21.2	15.9
44.	Texas A&M Aggies	-20	62.1	27.5	20.5
45.	Tennessee Volunteers	-5	61.8	23.8	17.1
46.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+1	61.5	26.3	19.2
47.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-11	60.1	25.8	20.7
48.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	+6	60.0	25.3	20.2
49.	Florida State Seminoles	-5	59.9	26.3	20.9
50.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	-7	57.1	22.5	18.6
51.	Idaho Vandals	+12	57.1	24.0	20.9
52.	Navy Midshipmen	+5	57.0	23.7	20.6
53.	Utah State Aggies	+7	54.8	26.3	24.6
54.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	+11	54.5	23.9	21.3
55.	UCLA Bruins	-2	53.4	18.0	16.8
56.	Oregon State Beavers	-	53.4	20.1	19.4
57.	Hawaii Warriors	-20	53.3	24.4	23.1
58.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	+3	52.5	21.6	20.2
59.	Clemson Tigers	-21	52.0	16.7	16.5
60.	Kansas State Wildcats	+18	51.3	20.3	20.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Nevada Wolf Pack	+12	51.1	26.9	25.7
62.	Toledo Rockets	+10	50.4	25.0	24.9
63.	Michigan Wolverines	-11	49.8	23.0	22.5
64.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+3	49.5	23.0	22.6
65.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-15	49.2	17.7	19.5
66.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-21	47.8	14.8	16.6
67.	Temple Owls	+8	46.2	18.9	22.2
68.	Purdue Boilermakers	-4	45.0	20.2	23.5
69.	Central Michigan Chippewas	-	44.4	19.0	22.4
70.	Colorado Buffaloes	+27	44.1	18.2	22.1
71.	Arizona State Sun Devils	-16	42.6	13.9	18.2
72.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-2	42.4	19.7	24.2
73.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	+3	41.9	16.7	22.8
74.	Vanderbilt Commodores	-6	41.6	14.6	20.3
75.	Indiana Hoosiers	-9	40.1	17.2	22.8
76.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-2	39.6	20.5	27.8
77.	Washington Huskies	+5	36.9	18.0	26.9
78.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	+2	34.6	16.5	25.7
79.	Ohio Bobcats	+7	33.7	13.8	24.2
80.	UAB Blazers	+7	33.6	18.3	28.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Kentucky Wildcats	-10	33.1	14.8	25.8
82.	Wyoming Cowboys	+24	31.5	14.0	26.3
83.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	-2	31.3	13.2	24.6
84.	Colorado State Rams	-26	31.2	14.5	26.2
85.	Virginia Cavaliers	+16	30.3	9.6	21.4
86.	Iowa State Cyclones	-7	29.3	15.3	29.1
87.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+16	28.3	14.4	27.6
88.	Louisville Cardinals	-11	28.2	12.6	25.5
89.	North Texas Mean Green	+2	27.7	13.2	28.4
90.	UTEP Miners	+25	27.6	15.5	30.5
91.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-7	27.1	15.4	28.6
92.	Buffalo Bulls	+1	26.4	14.2	29.5
93.	East Carolina Pirates	+2	25.7	11.8	26.1
94.	Duke Blue Devils	-	25.6	13.2	27.2
95.	Northwestern Wildcats	-12	25.4	13.1	28.9
96.	Maryland Terrapins	+6	25.2	12.4	26.8
97.	Syracuse Orange	-8	23.9	10.9	27.1
98.	Troy Trojans	-10	23.4	13.7	30.0
99.	UCF Knights	-	22.3	9.9	26.1
100.	UNLV Rebels	-15	21.5	14.1	33.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Tulane Green Wave	-5	20.9	13.4	30.3
102.	Army Black Knights	-10	20.6	10.2	29.4
103.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	-13	18.8	9.3	29.1
104.	San Diego State Aztecs	-6	18.3	8.0	27.2
105.	Western Michigan Broncos	-5	16.6	9.0	30.5
106.	Florida Atlantic Owls	+3	16.5	12.1	36.9
107.	Akron Zips	+1	16.4	10.0	32.2
108.	Bowling Green Falcons	-1	13.5	8.1	34.0
109.	New Mexico Lobos	+4	13.3	8.2	31.4
110.	Ball State Cardinals	-5	12.7	7.8	34.0
111.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+5	12.3	8.3	39.0
112.	Memphis Tigers	-	11.2	8.6	34.4
113.	Kent State Golden Flashes	-2	10.6	6.7	32.5
114.	Rice Owls	-	9.5	7.7	35.5
115.	New Mexico State Aggies	-11	8.2	5.7	36.9
116.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	-6	7.8	5.6	38.1
117.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	+3	7.3	5.8	36.3
118.	Florida International Golden Panthers	-	6.7	6.7	38.4
119.	San Jose State Spartans	-	6.1	6.7	41.5
120.	Washington State Cougars	-3	5.6	5.5	37.8

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at [e-mail]. Thanks!