New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be looking to extend their straight-up home winning streak to seven games Sunday afternoon when they welcome the New York Jets to Heinz Field. The Steelers are coming off a 43-14 rout of Kansas City, easily covering as 3.5-point favorites and grabbing a share of first place in the AFC North standings.

The Jets, meanwhile, made a shocking 11 total turnovers in back-to-back SU and against-the-spread losses to the Chiefs and Seattle Seahawks, and travel to Pittsburgh winless SU and ATS in five straight road dates against AFC North opponents.

Point spread: The Steelers opened as seven-point favorites; the total was 48.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 28.3-15.1 Steelers (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Jets can cover the spread

The key to New York's success begins with quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick. The 11-year veteran has tossed nine picks over the past two weeks but is equally capable of dominating a game, as evidenced by his 374-yard performance in the Jets' 37-31 win in Buffalo three weeks ago.

That's good news, as the Jets prepare to face Pittsburgh's 30th-ranked pass defense, which has allowed over 316 yards per game this season. The Jets have also been effective at defending against the rush, holding opponents to 86 or fewer ground yards per game.

Why the Steelers can cover the spread

Ben Roethlisberger threw five touchdown passes last week against the Chiefs and has now found the end zone an incredible 18 times during the Steelers' current home winning streak while tossing just one pick in his last two outings.

The Steelers add an important offensive dynamic with the return of Le'Veon Bell, who gained over 100 second-half yards last week, eating up valuable clock and denying the Chiefs the chance to mount a comeback.

The Pittsburgh defense has allowed just two rushing touchdowns in its past eight home dates, which bodes well against a Jets offense that has run for a score in just two of its past six outings.

Smart pick

This is a clash of teams headed in different directions. While the Jets have imploded with Fitzpatrick under center, Big Ben has found an extra gear and enjoys offensive options in the air and on the ground. Look for the Steelers to extend both their home winning streak and the Jets' current misery with another statement SU and ATS win.

Betting trends

The Jets are 1-7 SU in their last eight games on the road against the Steelers.

The Steelers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as home favorites.

The Jets are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with winning records.

All NFL betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates, and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.