LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators Betting Odds, Analysis, College Football Pick

LSU is 5-1 both straight up and against the spread over its last six meetings with Florida, although four of those games were decided by one score or less. Another close game could be in the cards when the Tigers tangle with the Gators on Saturday afternoon down at the Swamp in Gainesville.

Point spread: The Tigers opened as one-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. Line updates and matchup report.

College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 27.2-25.0 Tigers (College football picks on every game)

Why the LSU Tigers can cover the spread

The Bayou Bengals bounced back from the loss to Auburn that cost head coach Les Miles and offensive coordinator Cam Cameron their jobs to beat Missouri last week 42-7.

In their first game under interim coach Ed Orgeron, and with running back Leonard Fournette on the sidelines with an ankle injury, the Tigers jumped out to a 21-0 halftime lead on three Derrius Guice touchdown runs. LSU pushed that to 35-0 early in the fourth quarter on its way to a cover as a 12-point favorite.

On the night the Tigers racked up 634 yards of offense, a new school record for SEC competition, rushing for 418 as both Guice and Darrel Williams hit the century mark and ran for three scores. Meanwhile, the LSU defense held Mizzou to just 265 yards and out of the end zone until just six minutes remained in the game.

If the talented Tigers can carry on with the enthusiasm they showed last week they'll be tough from here on out.

Why the Florida Gators can cover the spread

It wasn't exactly pretty, but the Gators rebounded from their disheartening defeat to Tennessee two weeks ago for a 13-6 victory at Vanderbilt last week. Florida grabbed the first lead on a short Jordan Scarlett touchdown run midway through the second quarter before allowing the Commodores to get within 10-6 midway through the third. However, it added a field goal and held on from there.

The Gators had a chance to cover the spread as 13-point favorites but quarterback Austin Appleby fumbled the ball away at the Vandy 1-yard line with just three minutes to go.

Florida only came up with 236 yards of offense on the day, but limited Vanderbilt to 265 and won the turnover battle 3-1. That Gators defense has now held three of four opponents this season to seven points or less.

Smart pick

LSU looked rejuvenated last week, flying around the field and having fun, and Fournette might be back. Take the Tigers here.

Betting trends

LSU is 3-0 SU and ATS in its last three games against Florida.

Florida is 1-5 ATS in its last six games at home.

LSU is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against its conference.

All college football betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.