Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Odds, College Football Pick

The Wisconsin Badgers just pulled off one upset in the state of Michigan to extend their road winning streak to eight games, which includes a 6-2 mark against the spread.

They'll try to extend that run and pull a tough daily double when they head to Ann Arbor to take on Michigan in the first meeting between the conference rivals since 2010 Saturday at the Big House.

Point spread: The Wolverines opened as 10-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 26.3-15.0 Wolverines (college football picks on every game)

Why the Wisconsin Badgers can cover the spread

Wisconsin began this season as almost an afterthought in the Big Ten, but with a 4-0 start finds itself ranked in the Top 10.

Last week the Badgers pulled off a shocker, mugging Michigan State 30-6 in East Lansing. Wisconsin spotted the Spartans an early field goal, but battled back to take a 13-6 lead into halftime. The Badgers defense then came up with the key play of the game early in the third quarter, when a good hit on Michigan State running back LJ Scott forced a fumble that Wisconsin safety Leo Musso returned 66 yards for a touchdown and a 20-6 advantage. The Badgers tacked on 10 points from there for the outright victory as four-point underdogs.

On the day, Wisconsin out-rushed the Spartans 122-75, as the Badgers defense held an opponent to less than 100 yards on the ground for the eighth time in their last 11 games. Meanwhile, redshirt freshman quarterback Alex Hornibrook, making his first career start, completed 16 of 26 passes for 195 yards and one touchdown against one meaningless interception.

Why the Michigan Wolverines can cover the spread

Michigan is also 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS on the season after popping Penn State last week 49-10. The Wolverines grabbed a 7-0 lead five minutes into the game, pushed that to 21-0 early in the second and 28-0 at the half, and cruised home from there for an easy cover as 15-point favorites.

For the day, the Maize and Blue out-gained the Nittany Lions 515-191, racked up 326 yards rushing and won time of possession by a 36-24 split. They also converted 11 of 16 third downs, while the Wolverines defense recorded six sacks.

Michigan is now 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS at home under head coach Jim Harbaugh.

Smart pick

Wisconsin caught Michigan State on a letdown a week after the Spartans had stunned Notre Dame. Now it's the Badgers who have to get up for a big game for the second week in a row, and that's hard to do. Plus, throwing a freshman in against this Wolverines defense at the Big House does not sound conducive to success. The smart money here sides with Michigan.

Betting trends

Wisconsin is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games against Michigan.

The total has gone over in Wisconsin's last four games against Michigan.

Michigan is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games against teams with winning records.

All college football betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.