Penn State vs. Illinois Odds, Pick & Point Spread: October 3rd 2009

Penn State vs. Illinois
Free Pick: Illinois +8 -110 odds - point spreads
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Illinois as they host Penn State set to start at 3:30 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that Illinois will lose this game by 7 or fewer points and has a 46% probability of winning the game. PSU is obviously smarting from the humiliating loss last week at home to the hands of Iowa. They truly believed that they were a national contender and now they may not even be the Big-10 Champion. In fact, they could be out of the Big-10 race with a loss here today. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 66-31 for 68% winners since 2004 and has gone 43-18 over the past 3 seasons. Play on home dogs after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and sporting a win percentage of 25% to 40% playing a team with a winning record. Illinois will be sharp on offense and one of the dominant reasons is that they have returned 8 starters and the QB from last year’s edition. The biggest factor in this game is that PSU will want to establish the run and probably will accomplish that task, but not extensively. AiS shows an 85% probability that PSU will rush for between 100 and 150 yards. Note that PSU is just 12-29 ATS when they rush for 100 to 150 yards since 1992. PSU offensive line has been horrid in all games – even against the inferior opponents and Iowa surely exposed it last week. The problems they have on the OL cannot be resolved in a week’s time. Illinois HC Zook is a strong 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. incredible defensive teams who give up 12 or less points/game. Take Illinois.

John Ryan is on a 30-11 ATS run for 73% winners and here is your golden opportunity join him for his top rated titan play featuring the marquee Pac-10 game between USC + California. This play is further reinforced by 3 systems w/1 hitting an amazing 98% winners over the past 5 seasons and more.