Dr. Bob Previews CHIEFS (+8.5) Vs. GIANTS

Robert StollCorrespondent IOctober 1, 2009

PHILADELPHIA - SEPTEMBER 27: Bobby Wade #80 of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts to missing a catch in front of Sheldon Brown #24 of the Philadelphia Eagles  on September 27, 2009 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Chris McGrath/Getty Images)
NY Giants (-8.5) 24 KANSAS CITY 17
Over/Under Total: 42.5
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-04

The Giants have been good, but not great, so far this season, averaging 6.0 yards per play and allowing 5.2 yppl to a schedule that is 0.2 yppl worse than average from the line of scrimmage and about 1 point worse than average on a points scale.

Kansas City, meanwhile, has been out-gained 4.6 yppl to 5.6 yppl by a schedule of teams that would out-gain an average team by 0.4 yppl - so the Chiefs are 0.6 yppl worse than average.

These two teams are about what I thought they would be and my ratings favor New York by 8 points in this game, so the line is about right, but the situational analysis favors Kansas City in this game.

The Giants are an incredible 21-4 ATS in their last 25 games away from home, but they're only 1-2 ATS in those games when favored by more than 7 points.

I'll lean slightly with the Chiefs plus the points against a banged up Giants team with a long injury list.

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