On Monday India's hope of qualifying for the Semi Finals of the Champions Trophy was shattered after its ODI against Australia was washed out.
India still has a chance of qualifying, but it is a very low chance. Let us take a look at India's fate.
The Aussies won the toss and elected to bat. They were cruising at 232/4 when rain interrupted play in the 43rd over. The Umpires waited for the rain to stop but after sometime the play was called off.
Currently India are placed 3rd in the points table with just one point. The Aussies are on three points and the Pakis on four. India need to win their ODI against West Indies to go to Qualify for the Semi Finals. But that is not all that has to happen. There is a lot more to the story. Let us learn it.
The Pakis are through to the Semi Finals. The Aussies need just one more win against the Pakis to get through. But the Indians need to win against the Windies and hope that the Aussies lose against the Pakis. They also have to pick up their net run rate and push up to the second spot in the points table. How can this happen? Let us see.
The Aussies have scored 50 more runs than they have conceded, in their ODI against West Indies. On the other hand the Indians have conceded 54 more runs than they have scored, in their ODI against Pakistan. So for India to qualify for the next round they have to make up for the combined difference i.e 104 runs. So India have to win against the Windies by a margin of at most 105 runs to qualify for the Semis. But if the Aussies lose to the Pakis by 20 runs, then the Indians will need to win their match by only 85 runs. In case the Aussies and the Windies bat first, then it will be tougher for the Indians to make it to the Semis, because then the Pakis and the Indians will have to reach their target in about 40 overs.
So India's fate will be decided tomorrow, and I hope that they qualify for the Semis.