Free NFL Pick: Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys: September 28th 2009

Free NFL Pick: Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys Over 48 points
Monday Night Football: September 28th 2009 8:35p
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I believe both teams will be running the ball a bunch tonight. Carolina has had a fair amount of injuries on their front seven and just lost a starting DL last week, Louis Leonard. Both teams have had difficulties stopping the run, Carolina allowing 168 yards per game, 4.9 yards per carry, with Dallas at 135.5 yards, 4.8. Dallas was able to get 251 yards on the ground last week against the Giants. Carolina’s rushing attack with DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart is one of the league’s best.

Carolina has had troubles on their kick and punt coverage teams allowing an 85-yard TD punt return and 29.4 yards per kick return. Dallas has good return men in Miles Austin and Felix Jones.

Carolina has a new defensive coordinator who has the Panthers playing a lot of cover 2 zone with very little blitzing. They have been very susceptible on passes to the tight end. The Cowboys’ Jason Witten could have a big night.

The Panthers are not getting a good pass rush, just 2 sacks this year. Albeit, it is a little better than Dallas’ which has recorded zero sacks this season. Dallas ranks 30th in total defense after the first two games.

While Carolina ranks high on defensive in passing yards allowed, they are giving up a terrible 67.9% pass completion rate. Other teams are running on Carolina as their run defense is that bad.

Take the OVER 48!