TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Odds, College Football Pick

TCU is only 2-5 against the spread over its last seven road games, while Oklahoma State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight spots as a home dog. In a huge game in the Big 12 conference with national championship implications, the 8-0 Frogs battle the 8-0 Cowboys Saturday afternoon in Stillwater.

Point spread: The Horned Frogs opened as five-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 48.6-31.8 Horned Frogs

Why the TCU Horned Frogs can cover the spread

TCU remained unbeaten and on course for a national championship playoff berth with a 40-10 romp over West Virginia last week. The Frogs led 17-0 out of the gate, 23-10 at the half, then held the Mountaineers scoreless in the second half, securing the cover as 12-point favorites. On the day, TCU outgained West Virginia 616-327, ran for 228 yards and held the ball for over 36 minutes.

But something seems to be missing with the Frogs; after hitting the 50-point mark five times in a row, they've only scored a total of 85 points over their last two games. And yes, that is sarcasm.

More importantly, though, the TCU defense, which looked a little vulnerable a few weeks ago, has limited its last two foes to a total of 31 points.

Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys can cover the spread

Oklahoma State also remained undefeated last week with a 70-53 shootout victory at Texas Tech, winning that game outright as a two-point road dog. The Cowboys spotted the Red Raiders the first 17 points of the game but battled back, took their first lead late in the third quarter, then took the lead for good early in the fourth, ending the game with a 28-8 run.

On the day, Oklahoma State racked up 662 yards of offense, breaking loose for multiple big plays, and added scores on a punt return and an interception return. The Cowboys have now scored at least 58 points three times this season.

Smart pick

The Frogs have outrushed every opponent so far this season, while Oklahoma State has been outrushed in three of its last five games. Also, when it comes to common opponents, TCU blew out West Virginia and Texas, while the Cowboys beat the Mountaineers in overtime and the Longhorns by a field goal. Despite its recent ATS road record, take TCU here, giving the points.

Betting trends

Oklahoma State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games in November.

The total has gone over in seven of TCU's last 10 games on the road.

TCU is 12-1 straight up in its last 13 games on the road in November.

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.