Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Odds, Football Pick

Florida State owns a 28-game ACC winning streak, going 14-13-1 against the spread in the process. Georgia Tech, on the other hand, is 0-4 both straight up and ATS through its first four conference games of this season. In a rematch of last year's ACC title game, the floundering Yellow Jackets host the undefeated Seminoles Saturday night in Atlanta.

Point spread: The Seminoles opened as 6.5-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 26.4-23.7 Seminoles

Why the Florida State Seminoles can cover the spread

FSU is off to a 6-0 start to this season after exploding on Louisville last week for a 41-21 victory, covering as a seven-point home favorite. The Seminoles trailed the Cardinals at the half 7-6 and 14-13 in the third quarter, then scored 28 of the game's last 35 points to pull away for the victory and the cash.

Florida State outgained and outrushed Louisville, won time of possession by almost 10 minutes and did the same in the turnover battle 2-0. Transfer quarterback Everett Golson threw three more touchdown passes, giving him an 11-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio this season, and running back Dalvin Cook ran for 163 yards and two scores.

The Seminoles struggled a bit in winning their first three ACC games—against Boston College, Wake Forest and Miami—but played perhaps their best half of football this season last week after intermission. If they can carry over with that performance, they'll be in great shape Saturday night.

Why the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets can cover the spread

The Ramblin' Wreck lost their fifth game in a row last week, falling at home to Pittsburgh 31-28 on a 56-yard field goal with just over a minute to go. This despite outgaining the Panthers by 90 yards and outrushing them by 176 yards.

Two weeks ago, Georgia Tech lost badly to Clemson, but before that, it fell to Duke and North Carolina even though it outgained and outrushed both of them, too.

Last year, in the ACC Championship Game, the Yellow Jackets ran the ball for 331 yards and gave the then-undefeated Seminoles all they could handle, losing 37-35 but covering as four-point dogs. A similar performance Saturday night might result in an outright upset.

Smart pick

Florida State is 4-0 in the ACC. Georgia Tech is 0-4. But the oddsmakers seem to know this game will be closer than those records might indicate. The smart money here backs the Yellow Jackets, plus the points.

Betting trends

Florida State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games against Georgia Tech.

Georgia Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against Florida State.

Florida State is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.