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Arch Manning Plummets in New NFL Draft 2027 Big Board Rankings Released by Dane Brugler

Julia StumbaughNov 12, 2026

Arch Manning's draft stock has taken a major hit over No. 6 Texas' 7-2 start to the season.

Manning went from being ranked as the No. 3 overall prospect on the preseason 2027 NFL draft big board from The Athletic's Dane Brugler to slipping out of the top 20 altogether on Brugler's latest edition.

Here's a look at the new top 10 prospects on Brugler's 50-player draft board.

  1. Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State
  2. Drew Mestemaker, QB, Oklahoma State
  3. Colin Simmons, EDGE, Texas
  4. Leonard Moore, CB, Notre Dame
  5. Charlie Becker, WR, Indiana
  6. Xavier Gilliam, DT, Tennessee
  7. Dylan Stewart, EDGE, South Carolina
  8. Jordan Seaton, OT, LSU
  9. Chris Cole, LB, George
  10. CJ Carr, QB, Notre Dame

Manning, who was ranked No. 25 by Brugler, has completed 66.1 percent of his passes for 2,024 yards with 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions so far this season.

While displaying the athleticism that helped earn him buzz as a potential top draft prospect, Manning has yet to develop consistency during his second full-time season as Texas' starter. He seemingly struggled to read opposing defenses at times during the Longhorns' back-to-back losses to unranked opponents in October.

Manning's struggles have sparked speculation the quarterback could potentially return for another college season rather than entering the 2027 draft.

A few players have remained consistent top-10 prospects since Brugler published his initial rankings in August. That list includes Ohio State wideout Jeremiah Smith, Notre Dame cornerback Leonard Moore, South Carolina edge rusher Dylan Stewart, Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons and Indiana wide receiver Charlie Becker.

One player who joined Manning in plummeting out of Brugler's top 10 over the first few months of the season is Oregon quarterback Dante Moore, who was considered a candidate to be the top signal caller in the 2027 draft class before suffering a season-ending concussion in September.

Moore has been replaced as Brugler's projected top quarterback by Oklahoma State's Drew Mestemaker, who ranks second in the FBS with 2,962 passing yards and first with 29 touchdown passes while throwing just eight interceptions during the Cowboys' 6-3 start.

The latest 2027 NFL mock draft by the Bleacher Report NFL scouting department predicts the Los Angeles Chargers will select Smith with the top pick before the Tennessee Titans land on Moore at No. 2.

B/R NFL scouts agree Mestemaker will be the first quarterback off the board. The latest mock draft predicts the Miami Dolphins will select Mestemaker with the third pick of the upcoming draft.