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Buyer, Seller, or Stand Pat? Predicting Every NFL Team's Trade Deadline Strategy
The NFL's Nov. 10 trade deadline is fast approaching, leaving front offices little time to decide whether to buy, sell, or stand pat.
With October football wrapping up, let's nail down every team's likely approach to the deadline.
AFC East
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Buffalo Bills: Light Buyer
They're a prime contender as is, but the defensive back seven absolutely needs a boost for a team that remains flawed despite entering Week 8 as the Super Bowl favorite at FanDuel.
Miami Dolphins: Light Seller
The rebuild hasn't left them with much to sell off, but now could be a good time to get a king's ransom from a desperate contender for expensive 31-year-old Zach Sieler.
New England Patriots: Stand Pat
As with Buffalo, the core is pretty locked in and they're tight for salary-cap space. They made their splashes in the offseason and likely shouldn't sacrifice any more significant draft capital.
New York Jets: Heavy Seller
This season is already a lost cause and it appears Aaron Glenn is a lame duck. Time to get something back for guys who won't likely be part of the next generation, like Geno Smith and Harrison Phillips.
AFC North
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Baltimore Ravens: Light Buyer
It's becoming obvious that this team won't get over the top without another high-impact defender, ideally in the secondary. That said, they're in the worst cap shape in the league.
Cincinnati Bengals: Heavy Buyer
Like Baltimore, they have a desperate need for at least one more elite defensive player, if not a star back like Jonathan Taylor. The Bengals are right there following a 4-2 start, and they can't afford to miss the playoffs again. They need a home run.
Cleveland Browns: Stand Pat
They're hanging right now but are not a realistic Super Bowl contender. You don't want to break up a good thing, but sacrificing capital for a rental makes little sense either. Deshaun Watson would have been the real bait here, but that door has likely closed for now.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Light Buyer
They're invested in Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy, so a reset is out of the question following a 5-2 start. But when you look at the receiving corps, this team has little choice but to keep gunning.
AFC South
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Houston Texans: Stand Pat
I don't think they're ready to fold, as doing so might spell the end of the C.J. Stroud era entirely. The Marvin Harrison Jr. acquisition might have been their primary splash, however.
Indianapolis Colts: Heavy Seller
This isn't a prediction, as the fire sale is well underway with DeForest Buckner and Quenton Nelson leaving town this month.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Both?
The Brian Thomas Jr. rumors have reached a fever pitch, but the first-place Jags will likely try to leverage Thomas and some draft capital to bolster their odds of making their first-ever Super Bowl trip.
Tennessee Titans: Heavy Seller
This was confirmed with the Jeffery Simmons trade to Chicago. Now I'd fully expect veterans like Amani Hooker and Cody Barton to be available at discounted rates.
AFC West
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Denver Broncos: Light Buyer
There aren't a lot of obvious upgrade opportunities for a team that has been building this up deliberately. The only potential splash I see would be a deal for Saquon Barkley or Jonathan Taylor, which is unlikely.
Kansas City Chiefs: Heavy Buyer
It's an all-or-nothing situation at this point, and they're widely expected to pursue a standout receiver at the very least.
Las Vegas Raiders: Stand Pat
This team isn't a contender yet, so it makes little sense to sacrifice the future by paying premiums for short-term solutions. On the other end of the spectrum, you also don't want to sacrifice current talent before Fernando Mendoza takes over.
Los Angeles Chargers: Light Seller
This season has gone down the drain, but the Chargers are largely stuck with their current core. While I doubt they're ready to blow it all up, moving on from a veteran defender like Khalil Mack, Derwin James, Donte Jackson or Elijah Molden could make sense.
NFC East
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Dallas Cowboys: Heavy Buyer
The Cowboys are still favored to win the NFC East in what may be a make-or-break season for the head coach and the quarterback. In order to finally make waves in January, they likely need another high-impact defender. They have some cap space to work with, too.
New York Giants: Stand Pat
You don't want to kill the momentum from a hot start by messing with this operation right now, and the reality is this is not a Super Bowl team yet anyway. It makes sense to sit this deadline out.
Philadelphia Eagles: Heavy Seller
This isn't an easy call when you've been a perennial contender and are locked in with a franchise quarterback, but they've already indicated they're prepared to blow the rest of it up. Zack Baun, Saquon Barkley and Dallas Goedert are good "sell high" candidates right now.
Washington Commanders: Heavy Seller
With just one win under their belt entering Week 8, it's becoming clear this team doesn't have it. With a coaching change probably coming, dealing vets like Daron Payne, Stefon Diggs, Frankie Luvu and Dorance Armstrong would be prudent.
NFC North
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Chicago Bears: Heavy Buyer
Mission accomplished with the Jeffery Simmons trade. The Bears are officially in it to win it.
Detroit Lions: Heavy Buyer
What choice do they have now that Simmons is a Bear? The window is closing in Detroit, and there is cap space for a major defensive addition.
Green Bay Packers: Light Buyer
Money is a fair bit tighter here, and Green Bay is already down a 2027 first-round pick. The goal ahead of this deadline might simply be to shore up support for Jordan Love, potentially add a depth defensive lineman and hope they've got what it takes beyond that.
Minnesota Vikings: Light Buyer
I don't think they want to mess with what they have right now, and there aren't many glaring soft spots on the roster. It's possible they chase Jonathan Taylor or Saquon Barkley, but a Minnesota team with little cap space is much more likely to add a depth piece in the offensive backfield and forge ahead.
NFC South
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Atlanta Falcons: Light Buyer
They're in the thick of the wide-open NFC South race, so I get not selling. But the Falcons aren't a realistic Super Bowl contender and can't justify sacrificing the future for short-term rentals. They should focus on adding depth at cornerback or wide receiver.
Carolina Panthers: Light Buyer
Same idea as the Falcons. You can't sell when you're in first place, right? But what would be the point in buying big when it's unlikely to put you over the top? Besides, they rank 31st in the NFL in cap space.
New Orleans Saints: Heavy Seller
It's now officially safe to say this isn't the year for the 2-5 Saints, who would be smart to get max returns for Cesar Ruiz and Alvin Kamara as the rebuild continues.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Heavy Seller
This old team is 4-12 in its last 16 games. Time to load up ahead of an inevitable rebuild, meaning guys like Vita Vea and Chris Godwin should be on the block.
NFC West
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Arizona Cardinals: Heavy Seller
You don't want to strip the offense of all of its parts before auditioning Carson Beck, but now is a great time to get something for Budda Baker as well as quarterback Jacoby Brissett. They'd be silly not to entertain offers for Josh Sweat, too.
Los Angeles Rams: Light Buyer
They've already done a lot of buying, but that clearly wasn't enough. They don't have the draft capital or cap space to make massive waves, but I'd still expect them to add a veteran receiver in an all-or-nothing situation.
San Francisco 49ers: Light Buyer
The core here is not young and the 49ers are a true top-end contender. With plenty of cap space, I wouldn't expect them to be done making deals following the acquisition of DeForest Buckner.
Seattle Seahawks: Light Buyer
The Quenton Nelson move is already enough to reach "light buyer" level. I'm not sure they have more in them from that standpoint, but I wouldn't fault them for giving up some capital for an experienced edge.


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