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CANES SCORE 3x IN 39 SECS ๐Ÿ˜ฑ
Madefromlucky, with exercise rider Patti Krotenko up, works out on a sloppy track at Belmont Park, Wednesday, June 3, 2015, in Elmont, N.Y. Madefromlucky is expected to run in Saturday's147th running of the Belmont Stakes horse race, when American Pharoah will try for a Triple Crown. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)
Madefromlucky, with exercise rider Patti Krotenko up, works out on a sloppy track at Belmont Park, Wednesday, June 3, 2015, in Elmont, N.Y. Madefromlucky is expected to run in Saturday's147th running of the Belmont Stakes horse race, when American Pharoah will try for a Triple Crown. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)Julie Jacobson/Associated Press

Belmont Stakes 2015 Odds: Latest Vegas Lines, Payout Info and Predictions

Steven CookJun 4, 2015

American Pharoah maintains a healthy odds-on favorite status leading up to Saturday's 2015 Belmont Stakes, but it's no secret that history is working against him.

After taking both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes in resounding fashion, the Zayat Stables colt now enters Belmont Park eyeing history. But all he has to do is look back at the 13 who were in this same exact position over the last 37 years, only to fall flat in the 1 ยฝ-mile marathon race.

I'll Have Another in 2012 and California Chrome in 2014 proved unable to complete the trifecta after winning the first two legs. Could the third time in the last four years be the charm?ย 

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2015 Belmont Stakes Lineup and Odds

1MubtaahijMike De KockIrad Ortiz Jr.14-1
2Tale of VerveDallas StewartGary Stevens20-1
3MadefromluckyTodd PletcherJavier Castellano16-1
4FrammentoNick ZitoMike Smith40-1
5American PharoahBob BaffertVictor Espinoza2-3
6FrostedKiaran McLaughlinJoel Rosario6-1
7Keen IceDale RomansKent Desormeaux25-1
8MaterialityTodd PletcherJohn Velazquez13-2

Odds courtesy of Odds Shark.

Payout Info

1st$800,000
2nd$280,000
3rd$150,000
4th$100,000
5th$60,000
6th$45,000
7th$35,000
8th$30,000

Information courtesy of NYRA.com.

Predictions

WinAmerican Pharoah
PlaceMateriality
ShowFrosted

There are more reasons to be unsure about American Pharoah's chances of winning the Triple Crown than there are to bank on it, but much of that is rooted in history more than the horse himself.ย 

As far as the horse goes, American Pharoah has shown nothing other than dominance over the other Grade 1 contenders. A deep pool of able horses seemed to make a Triple Crown impossible this year again, but American Pharoah has proved a class above all of them.

The obvious rigors of having to race a third time in five weeksโ€”and the longer 1 ยฝ-mile trekโ€”has made the Triple Crown elusive over the last 37 years. Trainer Bob Baffert has represented three of the 13 horses who came up just short in that span, but he made it clear American Pharoah is unlike any he's ever had, per CBS News:

ELMONT, NY - JUNE 04:  Bob Baffert, Trainer of American Pharoah looks on during training at Belmont Park on June 4, 2015 in Elmont, New York.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)

"The good ones, they'll just pop up. They breathe different air than the rest of 'em," Baffert said.ย "(Pharoah) is more explosive than my other horses. Every time he runs, he's showing me; he looks like maybe this is the one."

Unlike at Churchill Downs or Pimlico, he'll be able to start from the middle of the pack in a coveted position, as Yahoo Sports' Pat Forde reported:

The post draw can be overrated in an elongated race like the Belmont, and that's especially so when there are just eight horses in the field. But one horse bound to take advantage of his draw is Materiality.

He drew the outside post of No. 8 for Saturday, which gives jockey John Velazquezโ€”winner of two Belmont Stakesโ€”plenty of options to attack during the early goings. Trainer Todd Pletcher rested Materiality for the Preakness in order to keep him fresh, but he believes the advantage of racing in Materiality's home stable will make a difference, too, perย New York Times' Tom Pedulla:

โ€œThe horses are settled in here; they train over the mile-and-a-half oval every day. Anytime you can walk out of your stall into the paddock, itโ€™s not a disadvantage in any sense.โ€

Materiality will avoid the early hesitation that doomed him to a sixth-place finish at the Derby, instead pushing American Pharoah more than any other contender Saturday and finishing well behind him for second place.

Another Derby head-turner in Frosted will surge forward for a top-three finish, a contender who could have easily placed at Churchill Downs but finished fourth. He'll give American Pharoah some early trouble out of the No. 6 post but fade late to fall behind the two top horses.

CANES SCORE 3x IN 39 SECS ๐Ÿ˜ฑ

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