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An exercise rider takes Mubtaahij around the track during a workout at Belmont Park, Wednesday, June 3, 2015, in Elmont, N.Y. Mubtaahij is expected to run in Saturday's 147th running of the Belmont Stakes horse race, when American Pharoah will try for a Triple Crown. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)
An exercise rider takes Mubtaahij around the track during a workout at Belmont Park, Wednesday, June 3, 2015, in Elmont, N.Y. Mubtaahij is expected to run in Saturday's 147th running of the Belmont Stakes horse race, when American Pharoah will try for a Triple Crown. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)Julie Jacobson/Associated Press

Belmont Stakes 2015 Odds: Updated Lines and Favorites After Post Position Draw

Steve SilvermanJun 3, 2015

When American Pharoah went to the post at the Preakness, he did it from post position No. 1, and that forced the hand of trainer Bob Baffert and jockey Victor Espinoza. It meant that American Pharoah would have to go to the front if he wanted to maximize his chances of winning that race.  

That's just what he did—in the pouring rain—and he won easily.

American Pharoah will not be forced into any major strategic decision based on his post position in the Belmont Stakes. The odds-on favorite for the last jewel of the Triple Crown drew the No. 5 post for the 1 ½-mile race, and he should be able to draw a comfortable position after the gates open.

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American Pharoah had success in the Kentucky Derby by getting near the leaders and establishing himself in third place early in the race. He was able to avoid traffic in the 18-horse field and then go into a full drive by the time he hit the top of the stretch at Churchill Downs.

The Triple Crown candidate has proven to be a versatile runner to this point. It seems likely that he will be forwardly positioned in the Belmont Stakes through the first half of the race before turning it on when he reaches the top of the stretch. While the long race would seem to favor come-from-behind runners, recent winners have shown tactical speed and not fallen far behind.

Baffert was pleased with the post draw, as he told Jonathan Lintner of the Louisville Courier-Journal: "I always like the five. It's a number I do well with. More importantly, the horse is doing well. So far, it looks like he's doing great. We've still got to get around there."

American Pharoah has been favored since winning the Preakness, and his odds have dropped to 3-5, according to Vegas Insider.

Post PositionHorseJockeyTrainerOdds
1MubtaahijIrad OrtizMike de Kock10-1
2Tale of VerveGary StevensDallas Stewart15-1
3MadefromluckyJavier CastellanoTodd Pletcher12-1
4FrammentoMike SmithNick Zito30-1
5American PharoahVictor EspinozaBob Baffert3-5
6FrostedJoel RosarioKiaran McLaughlin5-1
7Keen IceKent DesormeauxDale Romans20-1
8MaterialityJohn VelazquezTodd Pletcher6-1

American Pharoah had been training at Churchill Downs since winning the Preakness May 16. He shipped in to the New York track Tuesday afternoon and made the trip without incident.

Frosted is the second betting choice in the field at odds of 5-1. He will start from the No. 6 post, right next to American Pharoah, and he is trained by Kiaran McLaughlin and ridden by jockey Joel Rosario.

Frosted struggled early in the Kentucky Derby, but he rallied well in that race and finished fourth. He has proven to be an outstanding stretch runner and would appear to have an excellent chance if he doesn't fall far behind in the early part of the race.

Materiality

Materialty is the third choice at 6-1, and he has drawn the outside No. 8 post position. With a small field, drawing the outside spot could be an advantage for the Todd Pletcher-trained horse. Materiality has not won since struggling in the Derby, and Pletcher has used this strategy before to win the Belmont Stakes.

Madefromlucky, another Pletcher-trained horse, has the No. 3 post position. At odds of 12-1, he could have a chance to hit the board if not make a run at the potential Triple Crown winner.

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