Belmont Stakes 2015: Odds, Sleeper and Prediction for Final Triple Crown Race

Brian Mazique@@UniqueMaziqueCorrespondent IIIMay 30, 2015

Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes winner American Pharoah reacts during his morning bath outside Barn 33 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky., Monday, May 25, 2015. American Pharoah will race in the Belmont Stakes on June 6 in Elmont, N.Y.  (AP Photo/Garry Jones)
Garry Jones/Associated Press

With a little more than a week remaining before American Pharoah attempts to become the first horse to win the Triple Crown in 37 years, the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes winner is still the strong favorite to win the Belmont Stakes and complete the historic feat.

Per Odds Shark, American Pharoah's most recent odds are at 5-6. Here's a look at the latest odds for the entire field:

  • American Pharoah 5-6
  • Frosted 5-1
  • Materiality 15-2
  • Carpe Diem 12-1
  • Mubtaahij 16-1
  • Madefromlucky 22-1
  • Tale of Verve 22-1
  • Divining Rod 25-1
  • Keen Ice 28-1
  • Frammento 40-1

All three of the Triple Crown races generate a ton of attention, but with American Pharoah two-thirds of the way to an historic accomplishment, the spotlight on he and his trainer Bob Baffert is extremely bright.

Chris Carlson/Associated Press

Per Jonathan Lintner of the Courier-Journal, Baffert would like to go into Beast Mode, so to speak, during the build up toward the race. He said:

I can't go into Marshawn Lynch mode, but it'd be nice. I feel like we have a duty. The horses can't talk, so we're their voice piece. The main thing people want to know – how's the horse doing? There's a lot of horse lovers out there that worry about them and make sure he's safe and doing well and we're not pushing him to get it done.

Materiality who is trained by Todd A. Pletcher and Frosted represent the toughest test for American Pharoah, per odds makers, but there's another horse worth keeping an eye on.

Carpe Diem is the Most Dangerous Sleeper

Garry Jones/Associated Press

After winning four of five starts, Carpe Diem finished a disappointing 10th at the Kentucky Derby. He didn't run at the Preakness Stakes and that could provide the Pletcher-trained horse with a distinct advantage over American Pharoah.

The Derby and Preakness winner could be fatigued heading into the Belmont Stakes. That could have been the factor that helped thwart California Chrome's attempt at history in 2014. He saw his chances dashed by Tonalist, a horse that hadn't run in the Derby or the Preakness.

Victor Espinoza—the jockey for California Chrome and now American Pharoah—said this in 2014 when his horse failed to win the Belmont, per Adam H. Beasley of the Miami Herald:

“A little tired. Turning for home, I was just waiting to have that same kick like he always had before, and [Saturday] he was a little bit flat down the lane.”

One has to wonder whether American Pharoah will have the kick he needs in order to do what California Chrome could not.

Prediction

American Pharoah has had to overcome a lot to be in this situation. He outran Dortmund and Firing Line at the Derby. He also overcame a tough post position draw and a muddy track to win the Preakness.

Call me crazy, but he has the look of a horse that is versatile and strong enough to make history. American Pharoah is my pick to win the Belmont Stakes and the Triple Crown.

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