Free MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: August 29th 2009

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelpia Phillies
Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -178 (August 29th 2009)
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While still too “expensive” to qualify as one of my “guaranteed” selections, the price on the Phillies has come down enough to the point where I now believe they are offering us some reasonable value. That may sound strange to some, as the Phillies are still a large favorite. However, given the current form of today’s starter, I believe the price could easily be much higher.

Lee has been everything that the Phillies had hoped for - and then some. Indeed, he’s 5-0 with a 0.68 ERA with the Phillies! His teams are now 8-0 in his last eight starts with Lee allowing one earned run or less in seven of those (incl. all five with Philly) and two in the other. Over his last three starts, he’s 3-0 with a 0.37 ERA and 0.708 WHIP.

By comparison, Lowe’s recent numbers look pretty bad. Over his last three starts, he’s gone 1-1 with an ugly 7.47 ERA and an awful 2.042 WHIP. For the season, he’s got a poor 5.11 ERA on the road.

Consider laying the wood with Lee and the champs.