Free NFL Pick: Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds: August 29th 2009

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Free NFL Pick: Seattle Seahawks +2.5 Odds (August 29th 2009)
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Seattle has pulled out two wins to open the preseason under new head coach Jim Mora despite getting outgained in both of those victories. Basic logic might tell us that teams that have won their first two games are a play against in their next game but it is exactly the opposite as explained later. The Seahawks are taking this pretty big as last year was a major disappointment as injuries and overall poor play resulted in a 4-12 season. With this being Game Three, it means the starters are going to be seeing more playing time and this is the final big dress rehearsal before the regular season begins and winning this game is of ultimate importance. Kansas City is 0-2 and it no doubt wants to get a win as well but last week showed that it is going to be a long season for the Chiefs. They had first and goal from the one-yard line with a minute remaining last week against the Vikings. Four chances to punch it in resulted in four no gains and a loss. I was on the Chiefs in that game and that was evidence enough, no matter if it was the starters or the fourth string that this is a team we want to avoid until it can prove that it can handle those situations. It is becoming more evident that the Chiefs are having some serious offensive line problems and we will see this against the Seahawks. Against the Vikings, quarterback Matt Cassell dropped back to throw 19 times and was sacked the three times while also running the ball twice because of pressure. His longest completion went for only 20 yards, and he played only the first half when the Vikings didn’t use two of their better defensive linemen, Pat Williams and Jared Allen. The running game has been affected as well. Larry Johnson had an 18-yard run against Minnesota but otherwise carried seven times for 3 yards. Despite that big run, he is averaging only 2.8 yards per carry in the two preseason games. The situation that Seattle falls into is solid. Play on road underdogs or pickem teams after two or more consecutive straight up wins, in the last two weeks of the preseason. This situation is 58-28 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1993. 3* Seattle Seahawks