Free NFL Preseason Picks: Cowboys vs. 49ers Odds: August 29th 2009

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers
Free NFL Preseason Pick: San Francisco 49ers Odds (August 29th 2009)
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Tonight’s matchup in Dallas should take you down memory lane to some epic battles between these two clubs. San Francisco holds a slight edge in the series with a 16-15-1 overall record. These two have met in the playoffs seven times with Dallas holding a 5-2 record in the postseason which includes four meetings in the NFC Championship Game. It’s doubtful this game will be anything like those great games of the past but it still takes you back. In tonight’s contest the 49ers defense should get a shot in the arm with the return of their leading tackler LB Patrick Willis who suffered an ankle sprain on the opening day of training camp and has been sidelined for most of camp. The Cowboys are coming off a big win over the Titans in their first home game in their new stadium but that win came after losing to Oakland by a score of 31 to 10 on the road. The 49ers are coming in off two home wins and we know these road teams are a solid 35-21-1 ATS when they hit the road for the first time during the preseason. San Fran is also active in two more systems that tell us to Play On any road team off 2 home SU wins in their last 2 games, 24-11 ATS. Play On any road team with 2 or more SU wins versus an opponent with exactly 1 SU win, 42-17 ATS. Dallas on the other hand is in a negative situation that tells us to Play Against favorites who are coming in off a SU win of 20 or more points, 62-30 ATS since 2007. If our Play Against Favorite is favored by 2 or more points the record improves to 43-14 ATS since 2007. The current line is Dallas -7 and if that holds we know to Play Against home favorites of 7 or more points off a SU/ATS win now facing a non-winless team after scoring 17 or more points in their last game because playing against these favorites has produced a record of 14-0 ATS since 2007.