Free MLB Pick: San Diego Padres vs. Florida Marlins: August 28th 2009

San Diego Padres vs. Florida Marlins
Free MLB Pick: Florida Marlins -143 (August 28th 2009)
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Both these teams got roughed up yesterday. I feel that Florida has a much better shot at bouncing back with a victory this evening.

For starters, the Marlins are a respectable 36-29 at home. The Padres, on the other hand, are a money-burning 21-41 (-11.6) away from Petco Park. Looking back further and we find them at an awful 91-134 (-34.8) on the road the past few seasons.

Looking at the history between these teams and we find that the Marlins have won eight of the last 10 meetings, including four straight. That includes a 3-2 victory in which Volstad pitched last month. That was Volstad’s only career start vs. the Padres and he was sharp, allowing just four hits and one run (1.29 ERA) through seven complete innings. Conversely, Kevin Correia is 0-2 with an ugly 10.38 ERA and 2.0 WHIP in three career starts vs. the Marlins. All things considered, the current price seems reasonable. Consider Florida