Baseball Betting: Red Sox vs. White Sox Odds & Pick: August 27th 2009

Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White  Sox
Free Pick: Boston Red Sox (-120 odds)
Thu August 27th 2009 7:10p
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The Boston Red Sox have taken the first three games of this four-game series to drop the Chicago White Sox below .500 (63-64), and we look for Boston to finish off the sweep tonight at this rather modest price.

At first glance, it appears that the White Sox have the pitching edge tonight, and that perception is the very reason this price is so low. A closer look however reveals that may actually not be the case, which would give the Red Sox great value here.

Junichi Tazawa has made just three starts, but he has been terrific in his two starts here at Fenway park, where he has allowed a total of one earned run in 11 innings with both starts resulting in Boston victories. He should be tough on a Chicago lineup that has never seen him before, and that is batting just .239 over the last 10 games vs. pitchers that they are more familiar with.

Now John Danks is 11-8 with a 3.85 ERA for the White Sox, but he has not had particularly good success vs. Boston, allowing 11 earned runs and 23 baserunners in 16.1 innings over three career starts against them. As if that is not bad enough, he is facing a red-hot Red Sox offense that is averaging a whopping 7.70 runs over the last 10 games while batting a robust .302 as a team vs. left-handed pitchers.

Finally, the Red Sox are now 16-5 in the last 21 head-to-head meetings including 8-1 at home, and we look for that dominance to continue tonight.

MLB Free Pick: Red Sox -120