Free MLB Pick: Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds: August 27th 2009

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles
Free MLB Pick: Over 9.5 Runs (August 27th 2009) - Click for MLB odds
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Baltimore is back home following a nine-game roadtrip where it went 4-5 and more importantly for our situation, it went 7-2 favoring the ‘Under’. The Orioles are averaging 4.1 rpg on the road which is 21st in baseball and their .245 road average is good for 22nd in the Majors. Playing at home is a different story however as they average a full rpg more which is 10th highest in baseball and their .294 average at home tops all other teams. Cleveland won two of three in Kansas City while averaging 5.3 rpg in the process and the Indians have been a solid offensive team away from home. They are averaging 5.6 rpg on the road which is ties for the second highest mark in baseball and they are hitting .278 which is good for fourth best in the bigs. The Indians send lefty Aaron Laffey to the mound and he has been pretty solid this season, posting a 3.63 ERA. The problem is that he has posted a 1.42 WHIP along with that and that is an issue as he is allowing a significant number of baserunners. That comes with bad control and a low number of strikeouts meaning batter are making contact and if not, they are walking. He has a 43/38 K/BB ratio which is well below average for the Major League level. Laffey has a 5.40 ERA and 1.51 WHIP on the road. Baltimore goes with David Hernandez and it has been a very inconsistent season for him. He had a stretch of four straight quality starts but in five games since, he has a 6.56 ERA and 1.89 WHIP covering 23.1 innings. He has a 16/14 K/BB ratio which is not good and is pretty much in line with his season ratio of 39/29. Hernandez has a horrible 1.77 WHIP at home and he faces an Indians offense that is hitting .296 against right-handed pitching over its last 10 games. The ‘Over’ is 8-1-2 in the Indians last 11 road games against a right-handed starter. The Indians are also 33-11 to the ‘Over’ when playing as a road underdog this season. For the Orioles, they are 20-9 to the ‘Over’ in their last 29 games against starting pitchers that average 2.75 or more walks per game. 3* Over Cleveland Indians/Baltimore Orioles