Free MLB Pick: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: August 20th 2009

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Free MLB Pick: New York Mets -127 (August 20th 2009)
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On Thursday the free play is on the New York Mets. Game 958 at 7:10 eastern.The Mets qualify in a big system which has not been active all that much. However it has cashed at an extremely high rate. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites off a home loss as a dog of +140 or higher if they scored two or less runs and tonight's opponent scored 10 or more runs on 10+ hits.These home favs hit the ground running after getting blown out the night before.

The Mets were done in on Wednesday early when Bobby Parnell allowed eight runs in the second inning.The Mets were able to get by in this one without blowing out any of their better relievers as the long men finished up.Tonight the Mets have their ace going in Johan Santana. He is the best pitcher statistically in the second half over the last seven years.The Mets have a solid chance in any game he pitches regardless of who is on the field behind him. Santana has a solid 2.32 home era this year and has allowed 2 earned runs in over 20+ innings vs the Braves,good for a 1.96 era.

The Braves send Kenshin Kawakami to the mound tonight and he has a 4.92 road era which is over 2 full runs higher than Santana's home era. The Mets have performed well at home off a loss with Santana on the hill since acquiring him. Look for the Mets to bounce back and get the win here. On Thursday's card I have a 5 unit totals play going from a 24-3 totals system. One of the strongest I have. The Thursday card is the deepest I've seen all week. Jump on and cash out with some high end plays. For the free play take the Mets.Bol RV-