Oakland Raiders vs. St. Louis Rams: Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistNovember 27, 2014

Oakland Raiders wide receiver Louis Murphy (18) and St. Louis Rams cornerback Jerome Murphy (23) in an NFL football game in Oakland, Calif., Sunday, Sept. 19, 2010. (AP Photo/Paul Sakuma)
Paul Sakuma/Associated Press

Neither the Oakland Raiders nor the St. Louis Rams are going anywhere this season, but both are apparently improving as this season goes along.

Oakland and St. Louis are each 3-1 against the spread over their last four games. Coming off their first victory of the season, the 1-10 Raiders are set to meet up with the 4-7 Rams on Sunday afternoon in St. Louis.

Point Spread: The Rams opened as 6.5-point favorites. The total was 42 early in the week.

Odds Shark Computer Pick: Rams 17.3, Raiders 11.7

Why the Raiders Can Cover the Spread

The Raiders just ensured that they would avoid NFL infamy by pulling off a 24-20 upset over Kansas City last Thursday. They won straight up as seven-point home underdogs for their first victory of the season.

While Oakland is just 1-10 SU this season, it is also 6-5 ATS and 4-3 ATS since firing Dennis Allen and replacing him with Tony Sparano.

The Raiders led the Chiefs early 14-0, fell behind 20-17, but responded with an 80-yard drive that ended with a Derek Carr touchdown pass to James Jones with under two minutes to go.

Oakland gained 179 rushing yards to Kansas City's 96. It was just the second time this season that the Chiefs were out-rushed an opponent.

Why the Rams Can Cover the Spread

The Rams followed up their stunning upset of Denver two weeks ago with a tough 27-24 loss at San Diego last week, but covered as five-point underdogs.

Primed for a letdown, St. Louis instead led the Chargers at the half 10-6 and later picked up the backdoor cover with a score with just over two minutes to go.

Over the last six weeks, the Rams have beaten both of last year's Super Bowl teams, Denver and Seattle, and knocked off San Francisco. They've out-rushed three of their last four opponents.

So far this season, teams that have out-rushed their opponents have covered the spread in 68 percent of games.

Smart Pick

After the upset of Kansas City, it appears Oakland is ripe for a letdown. After all, this is still a 1-10 team we're talking about. So the smart money in this spot is with St. Louis, giving the points.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone under in five of Oakland's last six games on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 12 of St. Louis's last 18 games at home.

All spread and odds data powered by Odds Shark. Follow us on Twitter for injury and line movement updates.

Related

    Damian Lillard Recruits Le'Veon Bell to Raiders

    Oakland Raiders logo
    Oakland Raiders

    Damian Lillard Recruits Le'Veon Bell to Raiders

    NBCS Bay Area
    via NBCS Bay Area

    Mayock Set for First NFL Scouting Combine with Raiders

    Oakland Raiders logo
    Oakland Raiders

    Mayock Set for First NFL Scouting Combine with Raiders

    Las Vegas Review-Journal
    via Las Vegas Review-Journal

    AAF Week 3 Saturday Recap

    NFL logo
    NFL

    AAF Week 3 Saturday Recap

    Megan Armstrong
    via Bleacher Report

    Kyler: Telling A's He'd Play Football 'Was Tough'

    NFL logo
    NFL

    Kyler: Telling A's He'd Play Football 'Was Tough'

    Mike Chiari
    via Bleacher Report