Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Odds, Analysis, Pick

Georgia owns the recent Hated rivalry with Georgia Tech, with 12 wins in the last 13 meetings, including 10 spread covers.

The 9-2 Bulldogs also think they might still have a chance at making the College Football Playoff field, so they can't afford a let-up when they host the 9-2 Yellow Jackets Saturday afternoon between the hedges.

Point spread: Bulldogs opened as 14.5-point favorites, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

College football pick, via Odds Shark computer: 40.9-33.8 Bulldogs

Why the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets can cover the spread

The Ramblin' Wreck lost back-to-back games back in October to Duke and North Carolina, but since then they've gone 4-0 both straight up and against the spread, after beating Clemson two weeks ago, 28-6, winning straight up as two-point home dogs.

Georgia Tech outgained the Tigers 353-190 and outrushed them 251-125, and has now outgained and outrushed each of its last seven opponents. The Yellow Jackets have already clinched a spot in the ACC Championship Game, and while they don't have the resume to make the College Football Playoff, they'd love to deny the Bulldogs that honor.

Why the Georgia Bulldogs can cover the spread

Even though they own the same record as Georgia Tech, the Bulldogs still have a chance to make the four-team playoff. They need a victory Saturday, a Missouri loss (the Tigers host a hot Arkansas team) and then a victory in the SEC Championship Game just to have a sniff, but a sniff it could be, considering there's a decent chance at least one two-loss team will make the playoff.

Georgia is 3-0 both SU and ATS in its last three games, after a 55-9 victory over Charleston Southern last week, covering as a 43-point favorite.

And remember that 10-3 ATS run against their state rivals.

Smart Pick

The Yellow Jackets outgained and outrushed the Bulldogs last year but blew a 20-point lead and lost 41-34 in double-overtime. At the moment, Georgia Tech is a better team than it was that day.

And while Georgia has weathered the Todd Gurley situation well, it might be a bit overrated on this spread, playing at home. So the smart choice in this spot appears to lie with the Wreck, and the points.

Betting Trends

• The total has gone over in eight of Georgia Tech's last nine games on the road
• Georgia is 6-1 SU in its last seven games at home

All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.